Avacta

£12.5m raise completed, runway extended into Q227

Lighthouse | 6 October 2026

Share this note

  • Avacta has raised £12.5m (gross) through a placing of 18.4m new shares (17.4m placing shares and 970k subscription shares) at 68p per share, a discount of c 5.6% to the 72p price immediately prior to the Capital Access Window (CAW) pause in trading on September 30. This extends the cash runway into Q227, beyond key catalysts for the pre|CISION peptide-drug conjugate (PDC) pipeline. The most important of these is, in our view, the first efficacy indications for AVA6103 (Fap-Exd) from the Phase Ib element of the FOCUS Phase I/II study. These initial efficacy data should be a critical milestone, essentially acting as the validation step required to de-risk the wider pre|CISION platform.
  • As expected, the new funds are directed to continuing investment in the pre|CISION platform and PDC pipeline towards several additional value inflection points. These include: (1) further data for AVA6103 in H127, building on initial safety and pharmacokinetic disclosures (September 2026 Update); (2) payload selection and candidate nomination for AVA6207, the first dual-payload PDC, in Q426; and (3) clinical data for faridoxorubicin in salivary gland cancer at ESMO this month. Further clinical news flow over the next 12 months should establish the utility, positioning, and value of the pre|CISION platform, in turn initiating potential partnering opportunities.
  • Four non-executive directors subscribed for 970,587 shares, worth c £660,000, with amounts ranging from £500,000 (Chair Richard Hughes) to £35,000 (the recently joined NED and Chair of Audit Committee Mats Blom). Zeus Capital, the sole broker and booker runner, took 180k shares, worth £122k, in the placing, which due to Richard Hughes’ connection to both Avacta and Zeus is considered a related party transaction. On completion of the transaction that CAW is closed and trading has resumed. Avacta now has 489.7m shares in issue, with new shares admitted to trading from October 9.

Trinity Delta view: Avacta is now funded through to the early data from the first patients on therapeutic doses of AVA6103 in the Phase I/II FOCUS study; these should provide the first clinical insights on efficacy, kinetics and toxicity. Confirmation of the expected targeted tumour localisation and a reduction in systemic toxicity would be an essential validation step; not simply demonstrating that AVA6103 proposed mechanism is working but de-risking the wider next gen pre|CISION platform. We believe such data should also act as the natural catalysts to drive meaningful commercial partnerships. In the interim, AVA6207, the lead dual payload programme, is close to candidate selection and targeting an IND around end-2027/early 2028. Our Avacta valuation and forecasts are currently suspended; for context, our last published valuation was £525m, or 111p/share (105p fully diluted).

Lighthouse

6 October 2026

Price68.5p
Market Cap£335.4m
Primary exchangeAIM
SectorHealthcare
Company CodeAVCT
Corporate clientYes

Company description

Avacta is a clinical stage biotech focused on the novel pre|CISION platform to generate peptide-drug conjugates to target delivery of toxic payloads into the tumour microenvironment, which has the potential to expand the reach and reduce the systemic toxicities of highly potent cancer therapeutics. Lead programme faridoxorubicin is in Phase Ib, AVA6103 is in Phase Ia, and multiple next generation candidates are in preclinical development.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under section of Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

Scancell

Atlantic crossing transforms outlook

Update | 6 October 2026

Share this note

Scancell is a late-stage clinical oncology specialist developing novel, “off-the-shelf” active immunotherapies. The investment case is being transformed by an elegant dual NASDAQ/AIM listing and comprehensive funding package. Following a multi-step acquisition and financing package, the iSCIB1+ programme is now fully funded to enter its global, c 550-patient registrational Phase III study in late-2026. This complex series of actions removes historical UK capital overhangs and extends the cash runway into 2029. Importantly, accessing the deep US life sciences capital pools ensures long-term support for all the promising pipeline programmes. Near-term catalysts remain plentiful, including maturing Phase II SCOPE data, interim ModiFY synergy updates, and potential milestone payments from the GlyMab antibody portfolio. Our updated rNPV valuation for Scancell is £408m ($530m), equivalent to 34p/share.

Year-end: April 30202420252026E2027E
Revenues (£m)0.0 4.7 0.0 2.3
EBITDA (£m)(17.3)(14.1)(18.4)(28.4)
PBT (£m)(9.1)(15.3)(20.7)(30.1)
Net Income (£m)(5.9)(12.3)(19.2)(27.9)
EPS (p)(0.68)(1.26)(1.85)(2.48)*
Cash (£m)14.8 16.9 1.9 (3.3)
Source: Trinity Delta Note: Adjusted numbers exclude exceptionals; * based on current share count
  • NASDAQ listing opens the gates to funding Scancell is acquiring Neuphoria, a NASDAQ listed cash shell, to unlock the US healthcare specialist capital it needs to fund iSCIB1+, its lead clinical programme, through a pivotal Phase III registration trial. An interlinked series of steps saw a UK institutional placing raise £13.0m (gross), upscaled from £9.0m, and retail offer raise £2.7m, from £2.4m. A multi-tranche Blackrock debt facility of up to $25.0m (£18.7m), a c $39.1m (£29.2m) equity raise underpinned by Redmile and Vulpes, and cash from Neuphoria brings the total funds raised to c $95m, with the cash runway to 2029 (beyond study data).
  • iSCIB1+ could change standard of care iSCIB1+ continues to show promising results in the Phase II SCOPE study for advanced melanoma, with PFS (progression free survival) of 77% at 22 months. This compares with PFS of 43% at 22 months for ipilimumab plus nivolumab (the current standard of care) alone. iSCIB1+ is now financially cleared to enter its global, c 550-patient registrational Phase III trial in late-2026. FDA grant of Fast Track Designation means positive PFS data could lead to accelerated approval in late 2028, with full approval, based on OS (overall survival) a couple of years later.
  • Valuation of £408m ($530m), or 34p/share iSCIB1+ is the most important valuation contributor (>50%) in our rNPV model. Our current company valuation is £408m ($530m), but this is set to rise to £548m ($712m) as the Phase III trial enrols its first patient. Further upside could come from maturing SCOPE data in H1 calendar 2027 and/or start of Phase II in neoadjuvant/adjuvant melanoma which could support higher overall iSCIB1+ peak sales. News flow is also expected from the Moditope platform (Phase I/II ModiFY data from the renal cell carcinoma and head & neck cancer cohorts) and the GlyMab portfolio (including updates from partner Genmab).

Update

6 October 2026

Price9.40p
Market Cap£127.5m
Enterprise Value£110.7m
Shares in issue1,212.2m
12 month range7.26-29.50p
Free float56.5%
Primary exchangeAIM London
Other exchangesN/A
SectorHealthcare
Company CodeSCLP.L
Corporate clientYes

Company description

Scancell is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology specialist. The key value drivers are iSCIB1+, the lead ImmunoBody programme, and Modi-1, the lead Moditope programme. The novel GlyMab glycan antibodies are earlier in development.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 20 3637 5041

Scancell: iSCIB1+ is going to America

Scancell is a clinical-stage oncology specialist developing immunotherapies. Its investment case has been transformed by the dual NASDAQ/AIM listing and comprehensive funding package currently underway. Its differentiated portfolio is anchored around two novel ‘off-the-shelf’ platforms, ImmunoBody and Moditope, complemented by the GlyMab antibody platform. Following a complex acquisition and financing arrangement, the lead iSCIB1+ programme will now be fully funded to enter its global c 550-patient registrational Phase III study in late-2026. This removes historical capital overhangs, extending the cash runway into 2029 while accessing the deep US life sciences capital pools allows support for all platform progression. Near-term catalysts remain plentiful: iSCIB1+ SCOPE Phase II data continues to mature ahead of calendar H127 updates, interim ModiFY data will clarify lead asset Modi-1’s synergy with checkpoint inhibitors, and the GlyMab portfolio is positioned to trigger milestone payments upon clinical entry. Our rNPV valuation is £408m, or 34p/share, with further upside potential as development visibility increases.

Scancell is part-way through a series of carefully orchestrated corporate actions that will transform the business. The goal is to create a well-funded dual NASDAQ and AIM listed entity that can progress its promising lead asset, iSCIB1+, through to interim data in its registrational Phase III trial. The outcome will be a pro-forma net cash balance of c £59.2m (c $79.1m) before costs, and a cash runway that extends beyond the pivotal iSCIB1+ clinical read-out scheduled for calendar H228. The complexity of the transactions reflects the reality of the structural limitations faced by AIM listed companies when their lead asset(s) successfully progress through the later stages of clinical development. These capital constraints are not new and are well documented (Bleeding to death: the science and technology growth emergency), yet a lack of timely political and regulatory action means proactive managements have little choice but to cross the Atlantic.

Exhibit 1: the four interlinked steps to funding the iSCIB1+ pivotal trial
Source: Scancell, Trinity Delta

The transaction architecture (Exhibit 1) deliberately combines the acquisition of a NASDAQ-listed cash shell, a planned US private equity placement (PIPE), a flexible non-dilutive debt instrument, and a UK institutional placement and retail offer to allow local investors to maintain their positions (and benefit from the pricing discount). It is worth dissecting the anatomy of the deals as this is not merely a capital raising exercise, and each transaction fulfils a distinct and complementary role in this pathway to a NASDAQ listing.

1 – NASDAQ listing: acquisition of Neuphoria cash shell

The first step sees Scancell acquire Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: NEUP) in an all-share “reverse merger” transaction whereby Scancell shareholders own 85.5% and Neuphoria shareholders 14.5% of the combined company on a pro forma basis. On closing, expected late Q426/early Q127, each Neuphoria share will convert into 37.77 Scancell ADSs (1 ADS = 10 ordinary shares) and a non-transferable CVR (contingent value right) connected to any potential future net proceeds from Neuphoria’s partnered assets. The enlarged entity will then continue trading as Scancell (with Neuphoria an indirect wholly owned subsidiary) and maintain its AIM listing, while also establishing a NASDAQ Level 3 ADS (ticker: SCLT).

The role of the CVRs is to allow existing Neuphoria holders to benefit from any potential upside in the legacy assets although, realistically, the likelihood is acknowledged as being low. The CVRs also, indirectly, ensure Scancell’s core oncology portfolio is insulated from Neuphoria’s historical activities.

In October 2025 Neuphoria’s lead asset BNC210, an oral negative modulator of alpha-7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (α7-nAChR) for anxiety, failed in the Phase III AFFIRM-1 trial for Social Anxiety Disorder (SAD). Subsequently, partner MSD (Merck Sharp & Dohme) conducted a pre-specified interim analysis on MK-1167, a positive modulator of α7-nAChR that was in a Merck-funded Phase II study for Alzheimer’s, and found it too had failed to meet the efficacy threshold. Two early-stage monoclonal antibody programme targeting cancer stem cells (BNC101 and BNC105) were previously out-licensed to Carina Biotech.

A more promising, although admittedly small, legacy upside rests within the 4.65% holding Neuphoria, then known as Bionomics, had in the Australian CTx CRC consortium with the programme involving small-molecule inhibitors targeting KAT6A and KAT6B lysine acetyltransferases. Pfizer bought the global exclusive rights and it is progressing though Phase III combination and Phase I monotherapy trials in HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer. The CVRs have been deliberately fixed at 15 years from deal closure to allow for the Merck and Pfizer partnerships to be given an appropriate multi-year runway to mature fully.

Neuphoria’s strategic review, initiated in December 2025, slashed its operations and minimised its cost base to become effectively a cash shell. This troubled period, during which activist shareholder Lynx1 Master Fund launched a short-lived hostile bid, resulted in a market cap averaging c $21m, with a high of $25.7m and a low of $15.7m. This suggested an underlying, net of forecast cash, valuation for a clean NASDAQ listing of $11m, at the lower end of the $12m to $15m that is anecdotally attributed to an unencumbered shell in the biotech space.

Scancell announced on July 23, 2026, that it was acquiring Neuphoria in an all-share transaction for 204.14m new ordinary shares (equivalent to 20.41m ADS) priced at 9p per share (or $12.05 cents), the same as the rest of the equity raise elements).  Based on current assumptions and reflecting the 10:1 share consolidation planned to be effective on October 21, this would mean issuance of 20.4m consideration shares to Neuphoria shareholders. The deal is conditional on a minimum of $10m in cash being transferred at close. This values the acquisition at c $24.6m and implies Scancell is paying c $14.6m (albeit in shares not cash) for this NASDAQ listing.

The merits of a NASDAQ listing for Scancell are, in our view, clear. An oncology pioneer such as Scancell cannot rely solely on UK capital to fund a global, registrational Phase III trial; the specialised healthcare funds that have the multi-billion-dollar resources and technical expertise necessary to value and support late-stage immunotherapy platforms are largely in the US and are reluctant to invest in AIM stocks; and, whilst a NASDAQ listing is not a panacea for all corporate and financing ills, history repeatedly shows partnering transactions (especially with US majors) have greater likelihood of completing for companies with the visibility and credibility that accompanies being on NASDAQ.

Exhibit 2: Comparison of a Traditional NASDAQ IPO vs Cash Shell Acquisition
Source: Trinity Delta

If the premise of the need to migrate to a dual listing is accepted, then the question becomes which route is better. There are pros and cons to both principal pathways, with the key features examined in Exhibit 2. While a traditional IPO remains the gold standard for well-capitalised US biotechs with deep domestic ties, it represents a lengthy, costly, and executive-draining path for foreign, smaller entities, luxuries that European clinical-stage companies with tight capital runways can ill afford. For an asset-rich but capital-constrained company like Scancell, the cash shell acquisition route offers a viable alternative. By merging into an existing, compliant NASDAQ vehicle, Scancell circumvents the public roadshow, caps its transaction expenses in equity rather than cash, and accelerates its listing timeline. We would argue the cash shell alternative provides Scancell with a safer, faster, and more cost-effective entry onto the global stage.

2 – UK institutional placement and retail offer

The first step in securing the funding for iSCIB1+ was the domestic capital raise. This was structured as a parallel UK institutional placing and a retail offer, initially targeting £9.0m and up to £2.3m respectively. Although totally separate from the US PIPE, the placement and offer should be viewed in the context of the larger planned US transactions, explaining the pricing framework that was established across all tranches. Scancell’s largest institutional insiders, Redmile Group and Vulpes Investment Management, did not participate in this placing, with their capital commitment directed into the conditional US PIPE tranche.

Panmure Liberum and WG Partners addressed UK institutional investors with strong demand resulting in an oversubscribed book partially satisfied through upsizing the raise to £13.0m. Shares were intentionally placed with long-standing shareholders, allowing them to maintain their positions on equivalent terms as the US PIPE investors, although several select new investors were brought on board.

The retail offer had to meet similarly tight timelines and used the Winterflood Retail Access Platform (WRAP). This route allowed investors to apply for shares through their existing stockbrokers as normal. As total applications exceeded the initial £2.3m limit, the retail tranche was upsized to £2.7m, with final allocations scaled back to ensure a fair distribution across the existing retail base. This brought the total raised to £15.7m (gross) which, not being contingent on either the Neuphoria acquisition or the PIPE raise, immediately secures Scancell’s cash runway to Q2 calendar 2027 and allows management to plan the Phase III study whilst legal and regulatory processes for the acquisition and PIPE are underway.

3 – Blackrock debt facility: why and when

Scancell has sought to minimise shareholder dilution through using debt in combination with the equity raises. To understand how this non-dilutive portion of the capital programme works, the $25m (c £18.7m) senior secured debt facility with various Blackrock managed funds should be viewed chronologically. The loan facility is structured into four tranches, separating immediate working capital from the later conditions of the US transactions:

  • Tranche 1 (immediate operational): An initial $7m tranche is structurally non-conditional on the US listing transactions and is carved out to be accessible during calendar Q426, prior to the merger closing, contingent on shareholder approval of the loan facility at the October EGM. Drawdown of this tranche, combined with the UK placing and offer funds, ensures the clinical team can plan the iSCIB1+ registrational trial with no operational delay or restraint while the regulatory and legal paths of the acquisition and PIPE are navigated;
  • Tranche 2 and 3: Further tranches totalling $8m are expected to be available following and conditional on (1) closing of the Neuphoria acquisition and the $39.1m US PIPE raise in late calendar Q426/early Q127, and (2) opening of the first clinical site for the iSCIB1+ Phase III study. Achieving these milestones will release this next block of capital, ensuring no unnecessary debt is taken unless the study-enabling transactions complete. Blackrock has the option to convert a portion of each of the first three tranches, up to $5m, into ordinary shares at a 30% premium to the placement price. The interest rate on cash drawn under the loan portion will be 10.5% per annum, and 10.95% per annum for capitalised interest on the convertible portion.
  • Final tranche: The remaining $10m balance of the $25m facility may be drawn through December 2027 subject to a $100m minimum cumulative equity fundraising threshold (inclusive of the UK funding transactions). We expect that these draws will be tied to operational progress and clinical development milestones for the global iSCIB1+ Phase III study, with the assumption that additional debt will only be drawn down if supported by clinical progress.

Each debt tranche includes an initial 18-month interest-only period, followed by standard repayment of principal and interest. There is also a warrant facility with Kreos Capital, a Blackrock affiliate, which will be pro rata to actual amounts drawn down. The number of ordinary shares issued at warrant exercise will be equal to 4.5% of the amount borrowed (ie $1.15m) priced at 9p per share (the pricing of the PIPE) or, if this does not complete, the lower of the price paid in any future equity financing or the 30-day VWAP following announcement that the PIPE will not complete. Warrants are exercisable up to 10 years from grant or on sale of the company. The debt financing (including draw down and warrant issue) is subject to shareholder approval at the EGM, and we note that all pricing remains subject to adjustment for the share consolidation.

4 – The US PIPE: underpinning the whole rationale

The cornerstone of the capital programme is a conditional $39.1m (c £29.2m) US Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE). Unlike the UK placing, the PIPE is contingent upon the formal closing of the Neuphoria acquisition. The transaction is engineered to settle simultaneously, planned for late calendar Q426/early Q127 but acknowledging that delays can occur. The whole package is designed to satisfy the numerous NASDAQ listing conditions, including financial and price regulations (eg a $4.00 minimum bid price) and liquidity and distribution rules (eg a minimum of 300 to 450 public shareholders holding 100+ shares and at least three market makers).

The PIPE is underpinned by Scancell’s two largest existing shareholders, Redmile Group and Vulpes Investment Management, who continue to demonstrate their unstinting support. Additional new, accredited, shareholders are known to have expressed interest in taking part in the US element of the equity raise. Leerink Partners, TD Cowen, and HC Wainwright & Co are acting as placement agents.

By placing this new capital within a US-regulated vehicle, these funds seed and enable the incoming NASDAQ Level 3 ADS line from day one. This provides an immediate institutional depth on the US listing without forcing management to be reliant on targeting investors through a series of roadshows.

The placement is priced at $0.1205 per ordinary share equivalent, which matches the 9.0p per share established in the UK. This was the requirement to secure the US capital and, once the US investors set the $0.1205 pricing floor, UK securities laws required Scancell to offer identical terms to its domestic shareholders.

Alongside the new cash investment, Redmile will convert its entire outstanding Convertible Loan Note (CLN) balance into non-voting new ordinary shares (or ADS equivalents), adjusted for dilutive financing impact. This removes the company’s primary legacy debt overhang, allowing Scancell to present a clean, unencumbered balance sheet to the US market at closing.

To accommodate the scale of Redmile’s combined cash injection and CLN conversion, a significant portion of their new equity will be issued as non-voting ordinary shares (or restricted ADSs). This is a technical mechanism that allows Redmile to maintain its financial backing of the global iSCIB1+ Phase III trial without breaching the 30% takeover threshold mandated by the UK Takeover Code. Post-completion Redmile intends to hold <10% of the voting share capital.

Key steps: shareholder approvals and regulatory clearance

The pathway to completion requires navigating a series of concurrent corporate, investor, and regulatory clearances across both UK and US jurisdictions. As the initial UK capital injection has been successfully accomplished, the checklist now shifts to closing of the acquisition, implementation of the NASDAQ listing, and trigger of the remaining capital inflows. The immediate timeline and core hurdles are as follows:

  • Regulatory filings (calendar Q326): The EGM Circular, published October 2, details the resolutions needed to clear the transaction. Scancell is also due to file a cross-border Registration Statement on Form F-4 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a definitive document that acts as a combined proxy statement for Neuphoria’s stockholders and a prospectus for the incoming Scancell ADSs under SEC filing rules;
  • Dual shareholder votes (Autumn 2026): Another critical step as formal closing cannot occur without separate investor approvals. This requires Scancell shareholder approval of the requisite resolutions at its October 20 EGM, alongside Neuphoria stockholder approval of the acquisition.
  • SEC and listing activation (late calendar Q426/early Q127): Following successful shareholder votes, completion remains contingent on the SEC formally declaring the Form F-4 effective. Once cleared, the final hurdles require the official listing approval of the Scancell ADSs on NASDAQ (subject to standard review under the SCLT ticker) coupled with an application for admission to trading on AIM of the new US private placement ordinary shares and the consideration shares issued to Neuphoria’s stockholders.
  • Financial Backstops: To ensure Scancell is adequately capitalised to advance the iSCIB1+ Phase III trial, the transaction is contractually bound by two clear funding floors. First, Scancell must secure a minimum gross threshold of $75m (c £56m) through the combined financing tranches. Second, the associated US subscription agreements must remain in full force and effect, while Neuphoria is contractually mandated to deliver a minimum of $10m in uncommitted net cash at completion.

Management is currently tracking a definitive transaction close in late calendar Q426/early Q127. There is a back stop of 28 February 2027 (end date), which may be extended by a further 60 days if the SEC has not yet declared the F-4 effective. As mentioned previously, by uncoupling the UK placement/offer from these final steps, Scancell’s development team is fully funded to advance early Phase III prep-work, while the corporate legal teams work to clear these regulatory gates over the coming months.

iSCIB1+ is the lead clinical programme

Scancell’s lead asset, iSCIB1+, is completing the Phase II SCOPE study of SCIB1/iSCIB1+ in combination with doublet checkpoint inhibitors (Yervoy [ipilimumab] plus Opdivo [nivolumab]) in advanced melanoma. SCOPE’s primary aim is to demonstrate that SCIB1/iSCIB1+ in combination with CPI doublet therapy acts synergistically and achieves improved clinical outcomes. The data to date have been detailed previously (November 2025 Outlook) and indicate that the iSCIB1+ construct elicits broad, potent and specific immune responses, with a clean safety profile and no unexpected toxicities.

The latest data confirm progression-free survival (PFS) in the target HLA population of 77% at 22 months. This compares with a reported PFS of 43% at 22 months for ipilimumab plus nivolumab alone, the current standard of care. For context, the median PFS of 11.5 months achieved by the CPI doublet in the CheckMate-067 trial is the highest observed in such advanced melanomas, with a median PFS of 7.9 months from real-world data. Further PFS and early overall survival (OS) data from SCOPE are expected to report in calendar H127.

Exhibit 3: Accelerated approval Phase III registrational trial design of iSCIB1+ in advanced melanoma
Source: Scancell

These data have supported positive interactions with the FDA, with IND clearance in January 2026 for the Phase III trial of iSCIB1+ (plus doublet CPI) in advanced melanoma (Exhibit 3). This was expanded with the grant of Fast Track Designation (FTD) in April 2026, which acknowledges the unmet medical need in advanced melanoma and allows for frequent engagement with regulators, alongside the potential for rolling reviews of future regulatory submissions. FDA agreement on the proposed trial design should smooth the path for ongoing discussions with the EMA in Europe and other key regulators. MHRA clinical trial approval was granted in the UK in August 2026.

The FDA grants expedited pathways to investigational therapies where the preliminary clinical data show a substantial improvement over existing standard of care options. Aside from the confirmation of the perceived clinical value it conveys, the FTD allows for accelerated approval based on PFS data, with the full approval typically given when the OS data has matured. For Scancell this translates not simply into potentially quicker and more predictable timelines, but it should reduce the uncertainties inherent in regulatory approvals.

The iSCIB1+ registrational study design will involve c 550 patients with stage III/IV unresectable melanoma in a two-arm design that has 1:1 randomisation to standard of care (ipilimumab + nivolumab) with or without iSCIB1+ (c 275 patients in each). The trial is a multi-centre, double-blinded study spanning c 90 centres across the US (most likely the majority), UK, and Europe. As established in SCOPE, the target population includes HLA haplotypes A2, A3, A31, B35, B44, and Bw4, and excludes acral melanoma and active brain metastases. The dose is confirmed as 8mg intramuscularly, with up to eleven weekly doses. The trial has an adaptive design and there is an option for the patient numbers to be increased.

The primary efficacy endpoint is PFS (Progression Free Survival), a survival endpoint increasingly favoured by regulators as it provides a clear and meaningful measure of real patient benefit. A secondary endpoint of OS (Overall Survival), which is still viewed by many as the “gold standard” benchmark, will also be assessed. The study incorporates a pre-specified data read-out after a certain number of expected PFS events, that should be at around month 24, which could have a 90% statistical power and support an accelerated approval. Assuming the first patient enrolment is before end-2026, and recruitment remains uneventful, the interim PFS should be available in H228.

The trial has a further pre-specified read out of OS events, which in our view could occur around month 48, ie H230, and that would support full approval. The follow-up element would continue, monitoring OS to completion. Our launch assumptions and clinical ramp-up reflect this indicative timeline, with our conservative forecasts based on uptake increasing materially leading up to and following full approval (this should overlap with regulatory and reimbursement approvals across other major markets).

The appointment of an experienced and proven CRO (Contract Research Organisation) is an important step in taking iSCIB1+ into a complex and multi-geography clinical trial. Such a specialist partner can rapidly establish the heavy background infrastructure, such as data networks and safety monitoring, needed to ensure its smooth running and clear the administrative hurdles quickly so that the selected sites can be signed up promptly. The financial markets view the enrolment of the first patient as a major de-risking event as it typically signifies the appropriate funding is in place and the medical institutions are comfortable placing their patients on the trial.

The iSCIB1+ opportunity is attractive with the potential to shift the standard of care in advanced melanoma if the durable results seen to date are replicated in the registrational trial. This is a directly positive outcome for patients as it means they can live for longer without their disease worsening. There remains an unmet need in this group of patients; despite CPIs improving patient outcomes, only around 50% of patients maintain a long-term benefit, with the remainder either relapsing or becoming refractory to CPI treatment.

More broadly, Scancell has highlighted future upside potential in earlier disease settings such as neoadjuvant/adjuvant resectable melanoma (where additional improvement in outcomes might be achieved given the less frail patient population) or as a preventative therapy in certain high-risk groups.

Neoadjuvant/adjuvant: Phase II trial planned for H127

Our current Scancell valuation and iSCIB1+ peak sales assumption only considers the advanced melanoma indication where there is visibility on the clinical plans and regulatory timelines, but we do note the upside potential for iSCIB1+ in earlier disease settings, such as neoadjuvant/adjuvant resectable melanoma. This is based on activity observed in an earlier Phase I monotherapy study with SCIB1 examining varying doses (ranging from 0.1mg to 8mg) in 35 patients with partially and fully resected stage III/IV melanoma. A striking finding was that all patients were alive at the 39-month cut off and 10 of 16 patients (those on doses >2mg) were disease free at 60 months.

Assuming the current funding programme is secured, management is evaluating the initiation of a Phase II trial (Exhibit 4) in the neoadjuvant (before surgery) and adjuvant (post-surgery) settings in calendar H127. The trial design is expected to evaluate three treatment regimens: Arm 1 with iSCIB1+ as monotherapy; Arm 2 dosing iSCIB1+ in combination with pembrolizumab (Keytruda); Arm 3, effectively the control, with pembrolizumab monotherapy.

Exhibit 4: Proposed open-label, randomised study in neoadjuvant/adjuvant resectable melanoma
Source: Scancell

We note that topline Phase III readout of the first combination regimen in adjuvant melanoma, Merck/Moderna’s personalised mRNA cancer vaccine, intismeran, in combination with pembrolizumab, recently demonstrated improved EFS. Full results will be presented at a future conference.

Addressable market: neo/adjuvant indication doubles size

The National Institutes of Health estimate there will be c 112k new cases of melanoma in the US in 2026, rising by 2.2% over the near term (the 117k figure of Exhibit 5 used by management as the addressable market by the time of iSCIB1+ potential first approval) and growing by 2%-4% through to 2040. Of these, c 94k cases will present with localised (Stages I & II) or resectable regional (Stage IIIA), where the spread is to a single lymph node (corresponding to the c 98k patient figure below). Stages IIIB to IIID and Stage IV are more severe, where the lesion has broken through the skin or has metastasised. Stage IIIB through to Stage IV collectively represent c 19k patients, of which 80% are eligible for iSCIB1+ treatment due to their HLA status (the c 16k forecast in 2028).

The main five European markets, together with Australia, are expected to have similar populations, with growth rates averaging 4%-5%. The key difference between these patient groups will be the rate of clinical adoption, fastest in the US and probably slowest in the UK, France and Germany, and the degree of pricing power (lowest in the national health services of Europe). Whilst there are understandably many variables, management estimates the global peak sales for iSCIB1+ to be c $3bn in the unresectable and metastatic indications, rising to $6bn to $9bn if iSCIB1+ proves to provide a similar improvement to that seen in the SCOPE study when used in combination with pembrolizumab in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting.

Exhibit 5: Addressable markets in advanced melanoma vs earlier clinical settings
Source: Scancell  Note: Bloomberg Melanoma Market Analysis 2026 Peak sales based on management estimates of predicted valuation of iSCIB1+ treatment and global addressable patient population

At this stage we have not included iSCIB1+ use in these wider settings in our modelling. Whilst we believe our policy of deliberately employing conservative assumptions is appropriate, we also feel that investors should be aware of the potential wider opportunities should iSCIB1 demonstrate efficacy and safety successfully in the forthcoming pivotal Phase III trial and, importantly, the proposed Phase II study in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting. Promising progress in these trials are the value inflection points, as success probabilities would rise and market opportunities widen.

Modi-1: not the bridesmaid, just earlier in development

With the ImmunoBody platform in the limelight, it is easy to overlook Scancell’s other “off-the-shelf” therapeutic vaccine platform: Moditope, a novel approach that stimulates a cytotoxic CD4 T-cell response. Moditope effectively generates an immune response against cells undergoing autophagy (a vital survival process for most cancer cells) by targeting a modification on proteins. Autophagy is particularly pronounced in the hypoxic core of expanding tumours, prior to angiogenesis and the establishment of new vasculature. During this process, stress-induced post-translational modifications (siPTMs) and proteolytic cleavage generate modified peptides that accumulate at higher levels in tumours compared to normal tissues. Exceptional results have been observed in preclinical studies, and the aim is to replicate these in the current clinical Phase II trial programme.

Modi-1, the lead Moditope programme, is being evaluated in the Phase I/II ModiFY multi-cohort basket study across a range of difficult-to-treat solid tumours as monotherapy and in combination with standard of care checkpoint inhibitors (Exhibit 6). The study is fully recruited with over 120 patients enrolled over 16 sites in the UK. Encouraging early efficacy was seen both as monotherapy and in combination, with good T-cell responses, in various hard-to-treat cancers, including head & neck, ovarian, and triple negative breast cancer. In HPV negative head and neck cancer, three of seven patients saw a partial response at their week 25 scan. The ORR (objective response rate) was 43%, which compares to historical ORRs of 19% for pembrolizumab and 13% for nivolumab.

Exhibit 6: Modi-1 clinical trial pipeline
Source: Scancell

PFS results from the two Phase II cohorts, exploring Modi-1 in squamous cell cancer of head and neck (SSCHN) in combination with pembrolizumab and in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) in combination with ipilimumab and nivolumab, are expected to be released in calendar 2026. As with iSCIB1+, the combination of Modi-1 with CPIs could be highly synergistic and lead to improved patient outcomes. These Phase II data will inform the development strategy.

GlyMabs: mAbs but not as you know them

GlyMabs are specialised anti-glycan monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) that target tumour-specific sugar motifs rather than proteins. Aberrant glycosylation is a hallmark of many cancers, shaping nearly every stage of tumour initiation, progression, and metastasis. Importantly, these are not random by-products of disordered biosynthesis in malignant cells; rather, they represent precise and reproducible alterations closely associated with transformation and tumour progression. However, tumour-associated glycans are difficult to harness as therapeutic targets and, unlike proteins, they are also less immunogenic, meaning that the immune system generates weak responses against them.

The flexible, consistent, reproducible, and potent GlyMab platform has potentially overcome these limitations. The technology stems from Scancell’s in-house expertise and can be employed to produce many differentiated mAbs that bind selectively to the target tumour-associated glycans. Preclinical studies have shown GlyMabs can achieve high affinity for glycans that are markedly overexpressed on cancer cells.

The initial pipeline of five differentiated antibodies is generating encouraging preclinical data that directly led to Genmab licensing two programmes: SC129 sialyl-di-Lewisa and SC2811 that targets glycolipid stage-specific embryonic antigen 4 which could have clinical value in many solid tumours. Each separate deal carries up to $624m in aggregate milestones across three modalities plus low single digit royalties on net sales. Scancell has so far received an aggregate c $12m in upfront payments, with the next milestone expected to be triggered by the start of clinical trials.

A new company, GlyMab Therapeutics, was formed in 2025 enabling the separation of the vaccine and antibody platforms into independent corporate entities. This potentially offers two independent value creation pathways.

Valuation and Financials

Following the close of the UK placing and retail offer we have updated our Scancell sum-of-the-parts valuation model to £408m ($530m), equivalent to 34p per share (29p fully diluted). However, this will need to be revised on completion of the NASDAQ listing (conditional on the Neuphoria acquisition closing) and linked fund raise (PIPE). Closure of the US financing transactions and drawdown of Tranche 1 of the Blackrock facility would add c $40m (c £30.7m) of net cash to the balance sheet (c $47m from the PIPE and Neuphoria net of $7m of debt). Exhibit 7 provides an overview of our valuation and underlying assumptions.

The key changes to our valuation assumptions include rolling forwards our valuation in time, adjusting the GBP:USD FX rate to 1.3 (from 1.25 previously), and reflecting the impact of the UK funding transactions by including the net proceeds in the current cash balance as well as updating the number of shares outstanding. Note that share count used is based on the current pre-consolidation number of shares and that initially, each ADS will represent 10 ordinary shares; however, subject to shareholder approval at the October EGM, a 10:1 share consolidation (1:1 ADS ratio) will become effective October 21. For context, our prior valuation was £399m ($499m), or 39p per share, with further detail in our June 2026 Update.

Exhibit 7: Scancell sum of the parts valuation
Source: Trinity Delta   Note: assumptions include a 12.5% discount factor, £/$ FX rate of 1.3; we assume all programmes will be partnered

iSCIB1+, valued at £210m/$273m, remains the key value driver in our risk-adjusted net present value (rNPV) model, with the next step change on the first patient enrolment into the registrational Phase III trial. This would trigger an uplift from our current 30% success probability based on standard industry rNPV models whereby funded oncology assets with solid Phase II data have probabilities ranging from 50% to 65%. Assuming a conservative 50% probability of success for iSCIB1+, and all else being equal, this would translate into an iSCIB1+ valuation of £350m/$455m, and a £548m/$712m Scancell company valuation, equivalent to 45p per share.

However, the FDA grant of Fast Track Designation (FTD) adds an important element to our success probabilities, as does the reduction in financial uncertainty once the US transactions close in the coming months. For the company a FTD brings benefits such as fewer trial design flaws, rolling reviews (eg pre-vetting of CMC and preclinical modules), and faster approvals (ie a six-month process vs the ten-month standard). FTD is, in itself, not associated with higher probabilities of clinical success at Phase III, but it does improve regulatory approval probability. Consequently, applying a 65% probability, acknowledging the above and the strength of the SCOPE data, coupled with the targeting of suitable HLA patients, would result in an iSCIB1+ valuation of £455m/$592m and a whole company valuation of £653m/$848m, equivalent to 54p per share.

In addition to unwinding the iSCIB1+ risk-adjustment, other sources of potential valuation upside include higher uptake/peak sales and/or development in broader melanoma settings. Our $1.5bn iSCIB1+ peak sales forecast reflects solely the opportunity in advanced melanoma; it does not currently include any contribution for neoadjuvant/adjuvant melanoma or other indications as no specific clinical trials have been initiated. We note that Scancell’s management estimates a >$3bn potential for iSCIB1+ in advanced melanoma alone, hence greater clinical adoption and penetration than our, admittedly conservative assumptions, represents potential for upside to our model. Furthermore, looking beyond this pivotal trial in advanced melanoma patients, as mentioned, the market opportunity increases significantly if iSCIB1+ could be shown to work in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant settings. The next key inflection point is the start of the Phase II study, which is currently scheduled to start in H1 calendar 2027.

Deal structure and financials

Completion of all the new funding transactions secured by Scancell and including the closing cash in Neuphoria would result in anticipated pro forma net cash (before transaction costs) of around $79.1m (c £59.2m), extending the cash runway into 2029, beyond key clinical milestones including, critically, the iSCIB1+ Phase III primary readout in H228. Following the close of the UK placing and retail offer, which raised gross proceeds of £15.7m, Scancell is funded into Q2 calendar 2027. These funds provide both near-term working capital and the resources to support preparation of the iSCIB1+ Phase III trial. The remaining US listing transactions (ie Neuphoria merger, US PIPE, and Blackrock debt facility) are inter-conditional and are expected to close in late Q4 calendar 2026/early Q127.

The precise details of new funding sources are as follows:

  • Oversubscribed UK placing and retail offer (£15.7m): The placing of 144.4m new shares at 9p per ordinary share (29.4% discount to the prior close), via an accelerated bookbuild, raised £13m gross with a further c 30m new shares issued under the retail offer raising a further £2.7m gross. Shares were admitted to trading on 28 July.
  • $25m secured debt facility with Blackrock managed funds: An up to $25m (c £18.7m) secured debt facility has been agreed which has four tranches to be drawn through December 2027. Subject to shareholder approval at the October EGM, the first tranche of $7m will be available prior to completion of the US listing transactions and a second on or around completion. This first tranche in conjunction with the UK placing/offer will extend the cash runway through to mid-2027. On drawdown, warrants representing 4.5% of each drawn amount will be issued which, assuming the PIPE completed, can be converted into equity at 9p per share. Each tranche has an initial interest-only period, followed by principal and interest repayments.
  • $39m US private placement (PIPE): Subscription agreements with new and existing shareholders (including Redmile and Vulpes) have been entered into to raise c $39.1m (c £29.2m) at an equivalent price to the UK raise (ie 9p per pre-consolidation share, equivalent to $1.205 per ADS or consolidated ordinary share). Under the PIPE, a total of 32.4m new consolidated shares are expected to be issued, split between c 27.94m of new consolidated ordinary shares (or ADS equivalent) and c 4.48m of non-voting ordinary shares. These non-voting shares will be held by Redmile which, in addition to non-voting shares issued on CLN conversion (see below) and re-designation of a portion of Redmile’s existing holding, will ensure that they hold less than 10% of Scancell’s voting rights.
  • Cash from Neuphoria merger (≥$10m): Neuphoria had cash on balance sheet of $19.4m as of 31 March 2026, and on closing of the merger Scancell expects to receive at least $10m (c £7.5m) of cash.

Scancell’s UK equity raise and US PIPE will increase the post-consolidation share count by c 17.45m, and additional new ordinary shares (or ADS equivalent) will also be issued in connection with the Neuphoria all share merger (c 20.4m) and the Redmile CLN conversion (c 19.2m). Post completion of all financing transactions, Scancell will have c 193.2m shares in issue.

  • Neuphoria all share reverse merger: On closing in late Q426/early Q127, each Neuphoria share will be converted into 37.77 Scancell ADS and a non-transferable contingent value right (CVR) connected to any potential future net proceeds from Neuphoria’s partnered assets, monetisation of certain IP rights, and receipt of an Australian R&D tax credit for FY26. This will result in the issuance of 20.4m ADS.
  • CLN conversion: All outstanding CLNs issued to Redmile will be converted into restricted ADS and/or non-voting ordinary shares, resulting in the issue of c 19.2m ADS, split between non-voting and ordinary share equivalents. This figure includes adjustment of the conversion price to account for dilution due to the UK and US funding transactions and may also be adjusted for payment of accrued interest in shares. At H126 interims, a total of £18.2m in CLNs were outstanding, with payment due in August 2027 (£1.75m @5.76p) and November 2027 (£16.45m @12.7p) unless converted into equity.

Scancell has stated that proceeds will be directed towards funding further iSCIB1+ development (principally the registration-enabling Phase III in advanced melanoma, but also the Phase II study in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting), the ongoing Phase I/II ModiFY trial in RCC and HNSCC, and for working capital and general corporate purposes. With plans to secure the necessary funding now in place we have updated our FY27 forecasts, which previously reflected illustrative base spend, to incorporate revised cost assumptions.

We maintain a FY27e (year ending 30 April 2027) revenue expectation of c £2.3m in connection with an assumed $3m milestone on the anticipated start of clinical trials for SC129, the first GlyMab partnered with Genmab. However, we note that precise timing of milestone trigger is unpredictable, the quantum of the milestone is undisclosed, and that Genmab controls development progress for partnered GlyMab assets.

As the iSCIB1+ registration study is slated to start before end-calendar 2026 we have increased our FY27e (year ending 30 April 2027) R&D investment to £22.9m (£5m previously) to cover preparatory work and trial initiation, plus ongoing costs associated with the SCOPE and ModiFY studies. For G&A, we continue to forecast costs of £5.1m for FY27e but also include placeholder non-recurring exceptional expenses of £2.5m in relation to the funding transactions.

Updated financial forecasts (Exhibit 9) currently reflect a scenario whereby FY27e cash inflow does not include proceeds from funding transactions yet to close (US PIPE, Neuphoria merger, Blackrock debt facility drawdown). Thus, this illustrates a funding need at end-FY27e (end-April 2027) which will be addressed by the successful close of those transactions. This scenario also assumes that the outstanding CLNs will convert on their respective expiry dates in FY28e.

Last reported cash was £8.6m at end-October 2025. This was subsequently boosted by a £3m R&D tax credit receipt and c £15m net from the UK funding transactions, extending the cash runway into Q2 calendar 2027. Drawdown of the first tranche of the Blackrock facility would further prolong this runway through to mid-2027. The synchronised closing of the US PIPE and Neuphoria acquisition, bringing in a further $39.1m gross and minimum of $10m respectively, coupled with the second debt tranche will provide funding into 2029. This extends beyond key clinical milestones (Exhibit 8) including the iSCIB1+ Phase III primary readout in H228. Nearer-term news flow includes further Modi-1 data from the Phase II ModiFY trial, updates on the progress of iSCIB1+, start of the iSCIB1+ Phase II study in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting, plus mature PFS and OS data from the Phase II SCOPE study.

Exhibit 8: Scancell upcoming catalysts
Source: Scancell
Exhibit 9: Summary of financials
Source: Scancell, Trinity Delta Note: Adjusted numbers exclude share-based payments and exceptionals. FY27e cash flow does not include proceeds from funding transactions yet to close (US PIPE, Neuphoria merger, nor Blackrock debt facility drawdown), thus CLN conversion currently on expiry in FY28e. Share count does not reflect proposed 10:1 share consolidation

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

Avacta

H126: pre|CISION pipeline progress prompts fundraise

Lighthouse | 30 September 2026

Share this note

  • Avacta has entered into a Capital Access Window, voluntarily pausing trading of shares on AIM, in connection with a proposed equity fundraise. Further detail on this raise is expected in due course. The cash runway continues to extend into early Q127, with last reported cash of c £10.6m at end-August 2026, beyond key catalysts for the pre|CISION peptide-drug conjugate (PDC) pipeline. Avacta is in an investment intensive period, having embarked on the AVA6103 (Fap-Exd) FOCUS-01 Phase I/II trial, treating the first patient in March. We note that financing activities have raised c £19m YTD in 2026, with proceeds of the most recent £9m June raise directed to paying down the convertible loan note (£12m outstanding balance as of end-September).
  • New funds will be directed to enabling continued investment into the pre|CISION platform and PDC pipeline towards upcoming value inflection points. These include: (1) first efficacy data for AVA6103 in H127, building on initial safety and pharmacokinetic disclosures (September 2026 Update); (2) payload selection and candidate nomination for AVA6207, the first dual-payload PDC, in Q426; and (3) further clinical data for faridoxorubicin in salivary gland cancer at ESMO in October. Further clinical news flow over the next 12 months should establish the utility, positioning, and value of the pre|CISION platform, in turn maximising potential partnering opportunities.
  • Avacta reported H126 revenue of £0.06m (H125: £0.06m), R&D investment of £9.69m (H125: £7.2m) reflecting planned increases in clinical and preclinical development work on the pre|CISION pipeline, and SG&A of £3.87m (H125: £4.47m). The operating loss was £13.9m (H125: £14.2m), which together with non-cash items relating to the convertible bond, translated into a net loss of the net loss was £19.0m (H125: £16.1m). End-June 2026 cash was £20.3m (£16.9m at end-FY25).

Trinity Delta view: Avacta is employing its pre|CISION technology to create a portfolio of PDCs (peptide drug conjugates) that improve the therapeutic index of highly potent yet systemically toxic oncology drugs. Recent clinical progress with AVA6103, the first of its next generation PDCs enabling sustained release of an exatecan payload, provides early human validation that the platform successfully replicates the promising results seen in preclinical models. Initial AVA6103 efficacy data in H127 should be a critical milestone for Avacta; confirmed targeted tumour localisation and a reduction in systemic toxicity in multiple solid tumour clinical settings should serve as the crucial validation step required to de-risk the wider pre|CISION platform. Robust human clinical data should also act as the natural catalysts to drive meaningful, well-validated commercial partnerships. AVA6207, the lead next-gen dual payload programme, is close to candidate selection and targeting an IND around end-2027 or early-2028. As usual, following this proposed fundraise we suspend our valuations and forecast. Our last published Avacta valuation was £525m or 111p/share (105p fully diluted).

Lighthouse

30 September 2026

Price72.0p
Market Cap337.4m
Primary exchangeAIM
SectorHealthcare
Company CodeAVCT
Corporate clientYes

Company description

Avacta is a clinical stage biotech focused on the novel pre|CISION platform to generate peptide-drug conjugates to target delivery of toxic payloads into the tumour microenvironment, which has the potential to expand the reach and reduce the systemic toxicities of highly potent cancer therapeutics. Lead programme faridoxorubicin is in Phase Ib, AVA6103 is in Phase Ia, and multiple next generation candidates are in preclinical development.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under section of Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

Avacta

Encouraging first data from AVA6103 Phase Ia study

Update | 16 September 2026

Share this note

Avacta is a differentiated clinical-stage oncology specialist, increasingly defined by continuing progress with its second-generation pre|CISION tumour-activated Peptide Drug Conjugate (PDC) platform. The lead Gen Two programme, AVA6103 (FAP-EXd, a FAP-activated, controlled-release exatecan), has delivered initial Phase Ia safety and pharmacokinetic data from the FOCUS-01 trial. These data provide early human validation that the platform successfully replicates the targeted tissue localisation seen in preclinical models. They show a three-fold reduction in systemic payload exposure compared to market-leading antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) benchmarks and avoid the severe myelosuppression typically associated with free topoisomerase I inhibitors. Further clinical news flow over the next 12 months should establish the utility, positioning, and value of the pre|CISION platform. Our rNPV-based valuation is £525m/$671m, equivalent to 111p/share.

Year-end: December 31202420252026E2027E
Revenue (£m)0.10.10.00.0
Adj. PBT (£m)(24.2)(26.0)(27.0)(28.0)
Net Income (£m)(22.9)(33.9)(32.9)(32.2)
Adj. EPS (p)(52.8)(38.6)(33.4)(32.7)
Cash (£m)(15.3)(9.7)(7.3)(6.8)
EBITDA (£m)17.816.924.5*14.5*
Source: Trinity Delta Note: Adjusted numbers exclude share-based payments and exceptionals. * FY26e and FY27e include £25m of cash inflows in each period (as illustrative short-term debt) which could come from various sources.
  • Initial FOCUS-01 data confirm pre|CISION kinetics Preliminary Phase Ia safety and pharmacokinetic data for the lead Gen Two programme, AVA6103, provide the first human validation of the optimised FAP-activated platform. Initial escalation cohorts demonstrate a three-fold reduction in systemic payload exposure compared to existing ADC benchmarks. While these findings remain exploratory, they indicate that the engineered capping group successfully anchors the parent conjugate within the tumour microenvironment (TME) to create a localised, slow-release reservoir.
  • FOCUS-01 Phase Ib expansion to provide first efficacy data Phase Ia dose escalation is continuing through the remaining cohorts, with full safety findings expected by late-2026. The Phase Ib portion of the study, planned for early-2027 across six high-prevalence solid tumour indications, is structured to evaluate objective response rates and disease control in these indication-specific cohorts, with initial efficacy data expected to emerge in H127. This transition would represent a critical milestone should pre|CISION translate its pharmacokinetic safety margins into measurable clinical utility.
  • Valuation of £525m ($671m) or 111p/share (105p fully diluted Proof of mechanism data prompts us to revisit assumptions for our pre|CISION platform valuation given potential for pipeline expansion with multiple payloads addressing the wider 90% of FAP-expressing solid tumours. Cash of £16.4m at end-April 2026 provides a runway into Q127, covering several value inflection points. Future funding options include licensing/partnering deals, an additional NASDAQ listing, and further equity raises. Our rNPV model values Avacta at £525m or 111p/share (105p fully diluted) vs £475m or 101p per share (94p fully diluted) previously.

Update

16 September 2026

Price80.00p
Market Cap£374.8m
Enterprise Value£358.4m
Shares in issue471.3m
12 month range48.0p-92.0p
Free float66.5%
Primary exchangeAIM London
Other exchangesN/A
SectorHealthcare
Company codesAVCT.L
Corporate clientYes

Company description

Avacta is a clinical stage biotech focused on the novel pre|CISION platform to generate peptide drug conjugates to target delivery of toxic payloads into the tumour microenvironment, which has the potential to expand the reach and reduce the systemic toxicities of highly potent cancer therapeutics. Two programmes, FAP-Dox (AVA6000) and FAP-Exd (AVA6103), are in clinical development.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Avacta: early AVA6103 data show promise

Avacta is increasingly defined by the continuing progress with its second-generation pre|CISION tumour-activated Peptide Drug Conjugate (PDC) platform. The investment case centres on pre|CISION’s ability to reduce the efficacy/toxicity trade off seen with many potent oncology therapeutics, thus broadening their clinical utility. The platform employs a small-molecule masking chemistry designed to only specifically release the cytotoxic payloads in the tumour microenvironment (TME) through cleavage by Fibroblast Activation Protein (FAP), an enzyme highly expressed across c 90% of all solid tumours. AVA6103 (FAP-activated, controlled-release exatecan), the lead Gen Two programme, is in Phase Ia dose-escalation studies. Preliminary data corroborate the preclinical translational models, confirming targeted tumour localisation and reduced systemic toxicity compared to both conventional exatecan and AstraZeneca/Daiichi Sankyo’s market-leading antibody-drug conjugate (ADC), Enhertu.  Our updated Avacta rNPV valuation, based on conservative assumptions, is £525m ($671m), equivalent to 111p/share (105p fully diluted).

Avacta is developing a portfolio of peptide-drug conjugates (PDCs) that use its pre|CISION technology to improve the therapeutic index of highly potent yet systemically toxic oncology drugs. Traditional chemotherapies and existing PDCs have historically been constrained by dose-limiting systemic toxicities, often caused by premature payload release in peripheral circulation. pre|CISION addresses this by using a specific peptide sequence – cleavable only by FAPα (fibroblast activation protein-α) – to deliver the payload precisely, preventing cell entry and exposure to healthy tissue until it undergoes enzymatic cleavage in the tumour microenvironment (TME). FAP expression is seen in c 90% of all solid tumours, where it is localised on Cancer-Associated Fibroblasts (CAFs) within the stroma and is virtually absent in healthy mature tissue.

Exhibit 1: Avacta’s development portfolio
Source: Avacta

Beyond the immediate commercial value of the individual pipeline assets (Exhibit 1), the true inflection point for our equity arc relies on proving the widespread utility, and potential scalability, of the pre|CISION platform. A successful clinical demonstration of the Gen Two capping group and linker stability in human plasma would clear the primary conceptual and biological hurdles for the entire technology. This would open up a much broader therapeutic landscape, allowing Avacta to address, for example, established, highly effective drugs that may have historically failed in development solely due to dose-limiting toxicities. By restricting active exposure strictly to the TME, the pre|CISION platform can optimise the therapeutic index of numerous payload classes, creating significant development opportunities across the wider oncology therapy space.

The clinical proof-of-concept for this masking mechanism was established with Avacta’s first-generation programme, faridoxorubicin (AVA6000, FAP-Dox), a doxorubicin payload. In clinical evaluations, AVA6000 demonstrated sufficient peripheral stability and reduction in cardiotoxicity for US regulatory authorities to lift the lifetime maximum dose cap mandated for doxorubicin in subsequent trials. It also delivered durable RECIST responses in salivary gland cancer, reported at ASCO 2026. These provide the initial human validation that the peptide conjugate remains intact in systemic circulation while releasing the active payload within FAP-positive tumour stroma (with a tumour to plasma concentration of 100:1).

AVA6103: the first of the next generation is in Phase I

AVA6103 (FAP-EXd) is the lead Gen Two pre|CISION-enabled PDC. It has an exatecan payload and is intended to address the known limitations of this potent topoisomerase I (Topo I) inhibitor, ie severe dose-limiting toxicities (neutropenia, thrombocytopenia) and short half-life, through modifying its PK profile. It also improves tolerability by reducing systemic exposure to released exatecan. The shift from Gen One (AVA6000) to Gen Two (AVA6103) adds an engineered capping group that is designed to bind in the FAP active site and a self-immolative linker that can be selected from different chemistries to tailor drug delivery from slow release to rapid cleavage. Many different classes of payload can be attached with Gen Two PDCs offering a great versatility in potential applications (Exhibit 2).

Exhibit 2: Gen Two pre|CISION structure brings benefits over Gen One
Source: Avacta

In AVA6103 the capping group increases binding affinity to anchor the intact molecule to stromal fibroblasts. This design clears the parent conjugate (exatecan is the released payload in this case) from plasma within four hours, resulting in a highly favourable tumour-to-plasma ratio, and basically converts the tumour mass into a localised payload reservoir, delivering therapeutic exatecan concentrations for more than five days. The result is extremely targeted delivery to the TME with sustained release of the now active payload directly into the tumour. The goal is for Avacta’s PDCs to achieve the robust efficacy of traditional ADCs but using small molecule chemistry, with added benefits such as improved specificities and/or toxicities, tailored kinetics, and a straightforward bystander effect that addresses both FAP+ve and FAP-ve tumour cells. Additionally, the small molecule science should allow easier, and cheaper, manufacturing.

The validity of this Gen Two architecture is being tested in the clinic. Initial data from the ongoing Phase I FOCUS-01 trial of AVA6103 provides the first human proof of these optimised kinetics, demonstrating that the structural modifications successfully replicate the targeted tissue localisation seen in preclinical models without triggering the severe systemic myelosuppression historically associated with Topo I inhibitors. FOCUS-01 is designed to generate robust data in six selected solid tumours: pancreatic ductal carcinoma (PDAC); gastric cancer (GC/GEC); colorectal cancer (CRC); cervical/vulvar cancers; small cell lung cancer (SCLC); and HR+ breast cancers. These indications have been specifically selected as part of the collaboration with Tempus AI to identify patients with the greatest likelihood of benefitting from targeted exatecan delivery to a FAP sensitive TME.

FOCUS-01: a two-part Phase Ia and Ib study

FOCUS-01 is expected to recruit c 140 patients across seven to nine specialist US centres. It consists of two elements: (1) the Phase Ia dose escalation portion (c 50 patients) with parallel arms dosing every three weeks (Q3W) and every two weeks (Q2W), these should determine MTD (maximum tolerated dose) and guide the RDE (recommended dose for expansion); and (2) the Phase Ib dose expansion which will consist of six cohorts of c 15 patients each, evaluating AVA6103 in these high prevalence cancers (Exhibit 3).

Exhibit 3: AVA6103 Phase I FOCUS-01 trial design
Source: Avacta  Notes BOIN Bayesian optimal interval design, MTD Maximum Tolerated Dose, and RDE Recommended Dose for Expansion

Phase Ia is currently underway, with the first two dose levels (DL1 1.5mg/m2 and DL2 3.0mg/m2, equivalent to 0.72mg/m² and 1.4mg/m² exatecan payload respectively) successfully completed and DL3 patients assigned. Already the early results are confirming preclinical data showing rapid uptake from the plasma and localisation at the tumour site, with sustained release of active exatecan and the products of the cleaved linkage. Phase Ib is planned to start in early-2027 and will assess indication-specific safety and provide early signs of efficacy, with overall response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), disease control rate (DCR), and duration of response (DoR) as the secondary endpoints.

FOCUS-01: first human data support preclinical results

As of the September 10, 2026 data cutoff, FOCUS-01 has enrolled and dosed 19 patients across the first three escalation cohorts of the Q3W schedule. The baseline demographics represent a heavily pretreated patient population with high tumour burden and advanced metastatic disease:

  • Dose Level 1 (1.5mg/m² AVA6103/0.72mg/m² exatecan): Enrolled five patients. The median age was 50 (range 46–75), with a sex split of four males and one female. The Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status was 0 for one patient and 1 for three patients. The median number of prior systemic therapeutic regimens was four (range 1–5), and all four patients (100%) were classified as heavily pretreated. Indications included pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (three patients) and gastric cancer (one patient). Two patients remain on ongoing treatment, and two have discontinued. Three patients are evaluable for pharmacokinetics (PK).
  • Dose Level 2 (3.0mg/m² AVA6103/1.4mg/m² exatecan): Enrolled seven patients. The median age was 47 (range 44–64), with one male and six females. ECOG status was 0 for two patients and 1 for five patients. The median number of prior regimens was four (range 2–8), and all seven patients (100%) were classified as heavily pretreated. Indications included pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (one patient), colorectal cancer (four patients), and cervical cancer (two patients). Six patients remain on ongoing treatment, and one has discontinued. Two patients are currently PK evaluable, with additional sample processing in progress.
  • Dose Level 3 (4.5mg/m² AVA6103/2.1mg/m² exatecan): Also enrolled seven patients. Median age was 58 (range 42–68), with two males and five females. ECOG performance status was 0 for one patient and 1 for six patients. The median number of prior systemic therapeutic regimens was five (range 2–8), with four out of seven patients (57%) classified as heavily pretreated. Four patients had received prior irinotecan, with single instances of prior Enhertu and Trodelvy exposure. Indications included pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (two patients), colorectal cancer (two patients), and HR+ breast cancer (three patients). All seven patients remain ongoing on active treatment with no discontinuations.

The initial human data from the first cohort offer promising early signs of how the PK of the modified platform is tracking as predicted in preclinical studies. The rapid decline of the intact parent drug in peripheral circulation is consistent with the expected tissue retention profile anticipated by the non-clinical models This clearance is accompanied by a low, sustained appearance of both free exatecan and the companion release peptide in plasma. While the patient numbers are small, this directional pattern indicates that the engineered modification to reduce the platform’s cleavage efficiency is functioning in line with the underlying design concept of containing the systemic payload exposure while ensuring tumour-localised drug activation (Exhibit 4).

Exhibit 4: Phase Ia showing AVA6103 plasma profile replicates preclinical data
Source: Avacta  Notes: Preliminary PK profile for Cohort 1 Patients (Cycle 1, n=3, 1.5mg/m² I/V over 30 mins)

Exhibit 5 summarises the FOCUS-01 safety data to date. Benchmarking against historical data for Topo I ADC Enhertu (trastuzumab deruxtecan) and exatecan is not straightforward due to the inherent variances in patient baselines and trial protocols. Nevertheless, these exploratory findings offer valuable directional insights into AVA6103’s comparative safety and potential therapeutic index.

Exhibit 5: AVA6103 safety comparison with Enhertu and exatecan
Source: Avacta Notes: 1 Phase I Enhertu safety in Q3W IV schedule as per Doi et al (2017). One case of febrile neutropenia reported as neutropenia; 2 Phase I exatecan safety in five-day CVI (continuous venous infusion) schedule as per Rowinsky et al (2000). Safety measured by courses of therapy, reported % of courses per Rowinsky (2000) at the MTD in patients heavily pre-treated (HP), 0.3mg/m2 QD. HP defined as >4 courses prior platinum therapy. Nausea and vomiting reported as a single event across doses. All patients treated with AVA6103 considered HP; 3 The safety data are reported as % of patients experiencing treatment-emergent adverse events of any CTCAE grade across AVA6103 (n=19), Enhertu x 3 dose levels (n=9) and exatecan x2 MTD dose levels QDx5 (n=13)

AVA6103: why the therapeutic window is so important

Exatecan is an extremely potent Topo I inhibitor, but its clinical utility as a free small molecule was compromised by its narrow therapeutic index. In early clinical evaluations (Rowinsky) free intravenous exatecan was evaluated in heavily pretreated solid tumour patients matching those enrolled in FOCUS-01. The results established a strict safety ceiling. Even at modest doses for five days, the treatment caused near-universal, severe myelosuppression. Profound Grade 3/4 neutropenia and thrombocytopenia were the primary dose-limiting toxicities, aggravated by a short plasma half-life that required frequent and challenging dosing schedules. For fragile patients who had already sustained bone marrow damage from multiple lines of platinum-based chemotherapy, free exatecan was simply too toxic to tolerate at therapeutic levels.

Daiichi Sankyo, and AstraZeneca, employed an ADC design to combine deruxtecan, an exatecan derivative, with a HER-2 targeting monoclonal antibody to create the market-leading Enhertu (trastuzumab deruxtecan). Enhertu aims to shield healthy tissue from Topo I inhibitor-related systemic toxicity through tethering to a HER2-targeted monoclonal antibody. Despite the greater tumour targeting, plasma instability results in off-target exposure and haematological adverse events remain the most common Grade 3 or higher toxicities seen. Less common (c 10% to 15%), but clinically challenging, is the risk of interstitial lung disease (ILD), which is the cause of the FDA’s Black Box warning.

The off-target effects are compounded by how Enhertu attaches to the HER2 receptor through the slow process of cell-surface antigen binding and receptor-mediated internalisation. This typically creates a 24-hour lag before peak payload accumulation is achieved within the tumour mass, resulting in the Enhertu ADC circulating in plasma for longer. Avacta’s Gen Two approach attempts to address these specific ADC vulnerabilities by shifting the targeting mechanism from the tumour cell surface to the surrounding microenvironment. Since FAP cleavage happens in the TME, the delivery alters the kinetics in two distinct ways:

  • Mitigation of plasma instability: Because the parent peptide conjugate clears from peripheral circulation within four hours, its exposure to plasma enzymes is too brief to permit significant premature payload release. Early FOCUS-01 pharmacokinetic data confirm that at equivalent payload doses, the systemic plasma exposure of free exatecan from AVA6103 is 3.38x lower at Dose Level 1 and 3.9x lower at Dose Level 2 than the circulating deruxtecan payload from Enhertu. This reduced peripheral exposure correlates directly with the absence of severe myelosuppression in the heavily pretreated FOCUS-01 cohorts.
  • Resolution of the internalisation lag: By targeting FAP-positive stromal fibroblasts rather than cell-surface receptors AVA6103 bypasses the intracellular trafficking bottleneck entirely. The capping group pairs high binding affinity with a reduced enzyme turnover rate. This anchors the intact molecule to the tumour stroma, effectively using the tumour mass as a localised, slow-release reservoir that maintains therapeutic exatecan concentrations for over five days.

These early Phase Ia data provide initial human validation that AVA6103 successfully decouples payload potency from systemic toxicity. By reducing peripheral plasma exposure by three-fold compared to market-leading ADC benchmarks, AVA6103 has demonstrated a clean safety profile across the initial escalation cohorts, avoiding the severe myelosuppression that historically limited free exatecan. We caution that whilst these pharmacokinetic parameters are directionally encouraging, they remain exploratory. Nonetheless, it is reassuring that preclinical findings are being replicated in these early trial results.

AVA6103: why FOCUS-01 results will define pre|CISION

In our view, the critical clinical transition for Avacta will occur in H127, when the Phase Ib expansion cohorts across the six Tempus-selected indications begin to deliver more robust RECIST efficacy data, shifting the equity arc for the Gen Two platform from clinical tolerability to therapeutic utility. Confirming targeted tumour localisation and a reduction in systemic toxicity in multiple solid tumour clinical settings should serve as the foundational validation step required to de-risk the wider pre|CISION platform. A successful proof-of-concept for AVA6103 would not just open up these sizeable clinical indications but should act as a template for other currently suboptimal compounds.

To provide context, we believe the shift from the Gen One chemistry typified by AVA6000 to the Gen Two PDC construct of AVA6103 is a larger and more significant event than from Gen Two to the clinically and commercially highly relevant dual payload constructs of Gen Three. AVA6000 successfully validated the FAP-cleavage mechanism using relatively straightforward chemistry with a doxorubicin backbone, whereas AVA6103 introduces a highly potent and toxic exatecan payload within the targeted and controlled-release conjugate structure. This requires exacting systemic stability in human plasma to prevent off-target toxicities, hence the importance of the Phase Ia PK data and the upcoming Phase Ib results as the defining validation events for the pre|CISION platform.

Once the architecture of the Gen Two construct is validated then the step to the Gen Three dual constructs is, in our view, one of chemical engineering optimisation rather than the conceptual leap between Gen One and Gen Two. If the Gen Two linker and capping groups safely navigate the human circulation and release the payload exclusively in the TME then the fundamental biological hurdle is cleared and, as a result, the multi-payload variations are de-risked materially.

pre|CISION: clinical data will unlock partnerships

Assuming the baseline operational runway will be funded to cover these crucial clinical readouts, we view the maturation of these clinical datasets as the key driver for long-term corporate development. Rather than pursuing premature, low-value arrangements, management continues to maintain active dialogue with multiple global pharmaceutical companies. The emergence of robust human clinical data from AVA6103 (Gen Two) should act as the natural catalysts to evolve these exploratory discussions into meaningful, well-validated commercial partnerships that will likely address Gen Two and Gen Three constructs.

Nonetheless, whilst we view continuing corroborating AVA6103 data as the defining events for the roles, and value, of the pre|CISION platform, other key near-term events include:

  • Gen Three candidate selection (H226): payload disclosure and clinical candidate selection for AVA6207 is expected to be announced by end-2026. Advancing its dual-payload technology closer to formal IND-enabling studies is another major step for Avacta. The ability to deliver two distinct therapeutic warheads simultaneously to the TME through a single FAP-mediated cleavage event is clinically attractive and confers clear commercial appeal for pharmaceutical companies with existing, established oncology franchises. Dual-payload constructs could address complex solid tumours that elude single-agent platforms and/or reduce, or even eliminate, resistance through established escape mechanisms.
  • Maturing Phase I data for AVA6000 (late 2026/early 2027): The Phase Ib results expected over the coming quarters will help complete the faridoxorubicin clinical package. The FDA agreement of the design of a single pivotal Phase II trial in SGC was reached in mid-2026. Management has made clear its capital allocation priorities, hence AVA6000’s progression into registrational trials is contingent on securing a suitable out-licensing partner to fund this further work.

The coming 12 months, arguably six months, should define the clinical utility of the pre|CISION platform. The AVA6103 Phase Ia data, which we emphasise is still early, does provide directional insights that suggest the preclinical promise may be replicated in the clinic. In our view, it will be the Phase Ib results that should signal whether it can deliver the robust cell-kill of a potent ADC while minimising systemic exposure and employing far simpler, small-molecule manufacturing.

Exhibit 6: Key portfolio events over the next 12 months
Source: Avacta  Notes EMSO=European Society for Medical Oncology, Madrid, 23-27 Oct 2026; FPI=First Patient In; PhIa: Phase Ia; SGC=Salivary Gland Cancer; AACR-Panc= AACR Congress on Pancreatic Cancer, San Diego, 25-28 Sept 2026; TIP=Trial in Progress; TM=triple meeting (AACR-NCI-EORTC=International Conference on Molecular Targets and Cancer Therapeutics), Barcelona, Nov 2026.

 

Valuation and Financials

We value Avacta using a sum-of-the-parts rNPV model for the disclosed pipeline assets, combined with an indicative placeholder value for the underlying pre|CISION platform chemistries. The individual asset rNPVs are summed and netted against unallocated corporate operating costs and net cash positions. Proof of mechanism data prompts us to revisit assumptions for our pre|CISION platform valuation given potential for pipeline expansion.

Our valuation is now £525m ($671m), equivalent to 111p per share (105p fully diluted for the future share issuance required to settle the outstanding convertible bond liability), vs £475.0m ($608.0m), or 101p per share (94p fully diluted) previously). We deliberately employ conservative assumptions throughout; our discount factor is 12.5% and the £/$ FX rate is 1.28.

Exhibit 7: Avacta sum of the parts valuation
Source: Trinity Delta   Note: assumptions include a 12.5% discount factor; £/$ FX rate of 1.28; * blended valuation comprising an orphan opportunity at 60% and a larger partnering opportunity at 20%

AVA6000 (faridoxorubicin, FAP-Dox): Valued at an rNPV of £76.7m ($98.1m), or 16.3p per share. This incorporates a blended probability of success (PoS) comprising an orphan opportunity at 60% and a larger commercial partnering opportunity at 20%, assuming an 18% royalty tier, peak global sales of $1.5bn, and a projected launch timeline from 2029 onwards.

AVA6103 (FAP-EXd): Valued at an rNPV of £129.8m ($166.2m), or 27.5p per share. Reflecting its current early clinical status, we continued to apply a standard Phase I PoS of 15%. Assumptions include a 20% tier-one royalty structure, a projected market launch from 2031 onwards, and peak global sales of $2.5bn across the broad solid-tumour indications currently under evaluation.

AVA6207 (Gen Three Dual-Payload): Valued at an rNPV of £67.5m ($86.3m), or 14.3p per share, applying a preclinical/IND-enabling PoS of 7.5%. Assumptions include a 20% royalty tier, commercial launch from 2033 onwards, and unadjusted peak sales of $3.5bn, recognizing its potential to mitigate common tumour resistance mechanisms.

pre|CISION Platform: Proof of mechanism data for the new linker and capping group chemistries employed in AVA6103 prompts us to revisit our underlying platform assumptions given the potential for pipeline expansion with multiple payloads. The indicative platform value rises to £240m ($307m), or 50.8p per share, vs £190.0m ($243.2m), or 40.3p per share, previously applying a blended pipeline modifier across unallocated future candidates targeting the wider 90% of FAP-expressing solid tumours.

Our July 2026 Update reviewed Avacta’s FY25 results and June 2026 fundraise. The latter was a strategic equity placement that raised £8.5m net specifically to settle three upcoming quarterly convertible bond (CB) repayments (ie the January 2026 and April 2026 payments that were deferred to October 2027, and the scheduled July 2026 quarterly payment). These three payments have now been satisfied, and the outstanding CB principal is £12m. Our model assumes the CB and associated coupons will be fully extinguished by October 2027 through issuing shares (either directly or indirectly).

Financial forecasts are presented in Exhibit 8. We expect increasing R&D investment as clinical progress is maintained, and larger trials are initiated and progressed for Gen Two and Three assets. Our forecast includes R&D spend of £17.7m in FY26e and reaching £18.6m in FY27e as AVA6103 Phase Ib expansion cohorts initiate. SG&A expenses are projected to grow incrementally from £9.3m in FY26e to £9.5m in FY27e.

Last reported net cash was £16.4m at end-April 2026, providing an operational runway extending into early Q127. To bridge the funding requirement ahead of key data milestones, our model shows an illustrative £25m cash inflow in each of FY26e and FY27e (treated as short-term debt). However, this funding shortfall is likely to be addressed via a combination of licensing proceeds, non-dilutive collaborations, traditional equity raises, or a targeted dual NASDAQ listing.

Exhibit 8: Summary of financials
Source: Avacta, Trinity Delta. Note: Adjusted numbers exclude exceptionals. FY26e and FY27e each include £25m of cash inflows (as illustrative short-term debt) which could come from various sources.

 

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number:  725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents.  Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions.  The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

HUTCHMED

First ATTC deal: GSK $110m upfront for KRAS/EGFR

Lighthouse | 4 September 2026

Share this note

  • HUTCHMED has struck its first licensing deal from its promising ATTC (antibody-targeted therapy conjugate) platform. GSK gains global rights (excluding Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan) to develop and commercialise HMPL-A830 for an initial $110m upfront payment, with development, regulatory, and commercial milestones bringing this up to a potential $1,295m, plus small, tiered royalties on net sales. HUTCHMED remains responsible for Phase I studies, expected to start in H226, before GSK assumes responsibility for future development in its licensed territories. GSK also has first right of negotiation to one earlier stage ATTC candidate.
  • HMPL-A830 is the third first in class programme in the ATTC pipeline. ATTCs combine the target specificity of a mAb (monoclonal antibody) with a proprietary small molecule targeted therapeutic to overcome the challenges of existing antibody-drug conjugates (ADC). HMPL-A830 consists of a proprietary highly selective and potent small molecule KRAS inhibitor, coupled with a targeted EGFR antibody. The goal of such dual mechanisms is to improve efficacy, reduce toxicities, and minimise tumour resistance. KRAS/EGFR expression is commonly found in many high incidence tumours such as colorectal, lung, and pancreatic cancers.
  • The ATTC platform is central to HUTCHMED’s broader growth strategy and leverages its small molecule inhibitor expertise and extensive knowledge of oncogenic drivers of disease, developed over the past two decades. The two clinical programmes, currently in Phase Ia/II, are HMPL-A251 (a PI3K/PIKK-HER2 ATTC targeting HER2) and HMPL-A580 (a PI3K/PIKK-EGFR ATTC targeting EGFR). HUTCHMED aims to have five ATTC/biologics candidates in the clinic by end-2027, with simultaneous China and global development.
  • The $110m upfront payment from GSK from this first ATTC deal will contribute to HUTCHMED’s unchanged Oncology/Immunology FY26 revenue guidance of $330m-$450m. And, important as the ATTC platform is to HUTCHMED’s longer term future, the recent positive efficacy data for the savolitinib (Orpathys) and Tagrisso combination in the Phase III SAFFRON (global) and SANOVO (China) trials highlights the strength of HUTCHMED’s oncology expertise. Progress is continuing across many fronts with multiple catalysts expected over the coming 12-18 months.

Trinity Delta view: The first ATTC deal, with a major pharma player such as GSK (Glaxo SmithKline), provides clear external validation of the ATTC platform’s clinical and commercial attractions, and accelerates the global development of HMPL-A830. The terms of the agreement form a valuable benchmark for similar future out-licensing. We maintain our view that HUTCHMED is a unique opportunity in biopharma, with a broad pipeline of differentiated oncology/immunology assets, global ambitions supported by large pharma partners, proven commercial execution in China yielding a growing top line, all balanced with shrewd investment. Our most recent HUTCHMED valuation was $5.80bn/£4.54bn/ HK$45.27bn, or $33.27/ADS and 520p/HK$51.90 per share.

Lighthouse

4 September 2026

Price (US ADS)
(UK share)
(SEHK share)
$14.11
209.0p
HK$21.88
Market Cap
 
$2.45bn
£1.82bn
HK$19.01bn
ExchangesNASDAQ
AIM London
SEHK
SectorHealthcare
Company CodesHCM
HCM.L
0013.HK
Corporate clientYes

Company description

HUTCHMED is a Hong Kong headquartered biopharma focused on discovering, developing and commercialising innovative targeted therapeutics and immunotherapies to treat cancer and immunological diseases for the China and global markets.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

Oxford BioDynamics

£9m raise gives management time to enact strategy

Lighthouse | 27 August 2026

Share this note

  • Oxford BioDynamics (OBD) has raised £9.15m gross (£8.4m net) through a placing of c 9,150m new ordinary shares at £0.001 per share to new and existing institutional investors. The new shares were placed at a 9.1% discount to the mid-market closing price on August 7, and admitted to trading on August 27, increasing OBD’s issued share capital to 13,441m.
  • OBD directors/managers have subscribed for 455m shares, with major investor Vulpes subscribing for 500m. Additionally, partially in lieu of fees, warrants were issued to joint brokers, OAK Securities and Singer Capital Markets, for subscription to an aggregate of up to 260.85m new ordinary shares at a £0.002 per warrant, with a two-year exercise period.
  • Use of proceeds will be directed to supporting OBD’s commercial priorities including: (a) platform partnerships, commercial launch of the EpiSwitch Orion platform, with multiple pilot projects and one or more validation and customisation project(s); (b) growth of EpiSwitch PSE revenues, including securing a US partnership, and initiating an NHS pilot study; (c) establishing a partner-funded evidence programme to support clinical adoption, reimbursement and licensing of EpiSwitch CiRT, and initiating an NHS pilot study on its use in monitoring treatment response; (d) advancing pipeline assets, including completing the blinded colorectal cancer study with a global healthcare partner, and determining the optimal licensing/development path for EpiSwitch NST.
  • The raise was necessary for OBD to continue operations beyond September 2026 as despite steady progress across the business, including increased revenue from EpiSwitch PSE and the first commercial use agreement for EpiSwitch Orion, no non-dilutive transaction has yet been secured. Last reported cash was £1.38m at end-May 2026. Net proceeds coupled with expected income generation over the coming period should provide at least twelve months of working capital.

Trinity Delta view: Oxford BioDynamic’s £9m raise alleviates the overhang caused by the known funding constraints and provides breathing space to allow management to pursue key strategic goals. The priorities are: commercial execution, converting the strong science into revenue-generating operations; disciplined resource allocation, capital is directed to programmes with the highest near-term value; greater customer adoption, as real-world utility demonstrates worth; and strategic partnerships, as deals are the only way to achieve a global reach. The EpiSwitch Orion cloud-based 3D genomics platform remains a primary focus and, together with growing EpiSwitch test volumes, should create shareholder value. Longer-term, in our view, sustainable volume growth will require substantial ongoing commercial investment. Hence, the importance of striking attractive deals with third-party partners should not be underestimated.

Lighthouse

27 August 2026

Price0.12p
Market Cap£5.15m
Primary exchangeAIM
SectorHealthcare
Company CodeOBD
Corporate clientYes

Company description

Oxford BioDynamics (OBD) develops 3D genomic diagnostics using its proprietary EpiSwitch technology platform. Aiming to improve precision and clinical utility, the target applications are in oncology, autoimmune diseases, and neuro-degenerative disorders. Two tests, EpiSwitch CiRT (immuno-oncology response) and EpiSwitch PSE (prostate cancer) are being rolled out commercially.

Analysts

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

HUTCHMED

SAFFRON data positions savo combo competitively

Lighthouse | 18 August 2026

Share this note

  • HUTCHMED and partner AstraZeneca (AZ) have announced the positive efficacy read out of the global registrational Phase III SAFFRON trial of savolitinib plus Tagrisso (osimertinib) in MET-driven 2L EGFRm non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), with no new safety findings. The combination demonstrated statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvements in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) vs doublet platinum-based chemotherapy. Full data will be presented at an upcoming medical meeting and support global ex-China regulatory filings.
  • SAFFRON, a randomised, open-label multicentre Phase III study, enrolled 338 patients with EGFRm locally advanced/metastatic NSCLC with MET overexpression or amplification who had progressed following 1L or 2L treatment with Tagrisso. Patients were prospectively selected for high MET levels using immunohistochemistry and florescence in situ hybridization (FISH). SAFFRON aimed to evaluate the efficacy of savolitinib in combination with Tagrisso vs premetrexed plus either cisplatin or carboplatin, with a PFS primary endpoint, and OS and ORR as secondary endpoints.
  • The savolitinib (Orpathys) and Tagrisso combination was approved in China in June 2025 for 2L advanced or metastatic EGFRm MET-amplified NSCLC after progression on prior EGFR-TKI therapy, following the positive read out of the China Phase III SACHI trial. In the SACHI trial, in the intent to treat (ITT) population median PFS was 8.2 months with savolitinib + Tagrisso vs 4.5 months with chemotherapy (HR 0.34). Importantly, in the predefined subgroup of patients that had received prior third-generation TKI treatment (ie Tagrisso), the median PFS was 6.9 months vs 3.0 months (HR 0.32). This population is similar to that studied in the SAFFRON trial and is also representative of the real world setting as Tagrisso is the standard of care in 1L EGFRm NSCLC in the US, Europe, and Japan.
  • Tagrisso has significantly improved outcomes for EGFRm NSCLC patients, however, MET aberrations (amplification or overexpression) are a common resistance mechanism, leading to a poorer prognosis for the estimated 34% of patients affected. The savolitinib plus Tagrisso combination could offer these currently poorly served patients a well-tolerated, all-oral, biomarker specific treatment option, and is a key life-cycle management element for AZ.

Trinity Delta view: Positive SAFFRON efficacy data pave the way for partner AstraZeneca to submit first global regulatory filings for the savolitinib/Tagrisso combination and address a common resistance mechanism in EGFRm NSCLC. This well-tolerated, all-oral combination, coupled with a commercial biomarker strategy, could offer a differentiated treatment option for 2L advanced or metastatic EGFRm MET-amplified NSCLC. Potential ex-China regulatory approval(s) from 2027/8 would make savolitinib HUTCHMED’s second global product after Fruzqla (partnered with Takeda), supporting medium-term growth prospects. For FY26, HUTCHMED has guided to Oncology/Immunology revenues of $330m-$450m. Our last published HUTCHMED valuation was $5.80bn/£4.54bn/ HK$45.27bn, or $33.27/ADS and 520p/HK$51.90 per share.

Lighthouse

18 August 2026

Price (US ADS)
(UK share)
(SEHK share)
$12.56
190.0p
HK$20.08
Market Cap
 
$2.18bn
£1.65bn
HK$17.45bn
ExchangesNASDAQ
AIM London
SEHK
SectorHealthcare
Company CodesHCM
HCM.L
0013.HK
Corporate clientYes

Company description

HUTCHMED is a Hong Kong headquartered biopharma focused on discovering, developing and commercialising innovative targeted therapeutics and immunotherapies to treat cancer and immunological diseases for the China and global markets.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

HUTCHMED

H126: China recovery and Fruzaqla drive sales growth

Lighthouse | 31 July 2026

Share this note

  • H126 results revealed the positive impacts from the rebound in China in-market sales (Elunate and Sulanda sales and consolidated revenues up >40%, >30% CER) and of Fruzaqla’s geographic expansion with approvals now in 41 countries (ex-US sales of $69m, +70%; global in-market sales of $185m, +14%). Overall, in-market product sales grew +17% CER to $280m (H125: $234m). H126 Oncology/Immunology consolidated revenue included product-related revenue of $121m (H125: $99m), and upfront, milestone, R&D services, and other revenue of $41m (H125: $44m). Total income was flat at $278m, including Other Ventures income of $116m (H125: $134m).
  • Higher R&D spend of $79m (H125: $72m) reflected initiation of global Phase I studies for two ATTC assets and ongoing discovery investment, with SG&A costs of $46m (H125: $42m) driven by Oncology/Immunology commercial operations. The solid balance sheet supports accelerated development of the ATTC global pipeline and productivity improvements in the commercial organisation, while maintaining firepower for future in-licensing and/or M&A. Despite increased investment, profitability was maintained with H126 net income of $16m (H125: $455m, including $416m in SHPL net divestment proceeds). H126 cash was $1.37bn vs $1.37bn at end-December 2025.
  • HUTCHMED reiterated FY26 Oncology/Immunology consolidated revenue guidance of $330m-$450m. The lower end of guidance rests on continued organic growth in China, supported by potential approvals of follow-on indications/new products, and modest Fruzaqla growth ex-China. Successful business development deals on the pipeline and/or ATTC assets and trigger of the next Fruzaqla sales milestone from Takeda represent upside potential.
  • The China pipeline continues to progress with sovleplenib NDA acceptance in 2L wAIHA and NDA resubmission in 2L primary ITP, plus several NMPA approvals (savolitinib in 3L MET-amplified gastric cancer; fruquintinib plus sintilimab in 2L RCC which triggered a $18.1m milestone from Eli Lilly). The China Phase III trial of HMPL-760 (BTK inhibitor) plus rituximab in 2L DLBCL is underway, and a third ATTC candidate is set to enter the clinic in H226. A key catalyst for HUTCHMED remains savolitinib pivotal trial read outs in NSCLC (SAFFRON global; SANOVO China), anticipated in late-2026.

Trinity Delta view: The positive 2026 outlook with Oncology/Immunology revenue guidance of $330m-$450m is supported by the recovery in China growth momentum, ongoing geographic expansion of Fruzaqla ex-US, and potential partnering opportunities. Continued commercial and R&D execution is key to ensuring sustainable profitability. Medium-term growth prospects should be boosted by potential approval of second global product, savolitinib, assuming positive pivotal data read outs in H226, and M&A and/or in-licensing. Business development, particularly with respect to the ATTC platform, would drive longer-term growth. Large pharma interest in ATTCs, if converted into deal(s) would give external validation and expedite development in a broad range of solid tumours with sizeable market potential. Our most recent HUTCHMED valuation was $5.80bn/£4.54bn/ HK$45.27bn, or $33.27/ADS and 520p/HK$51.90 per share.

Lighthouse

31 July 2026

Price (US ADS)
(UK share)
(SEHK share)
$10.77
167.5p
HK$17.71
Market Cap
 
$1.87bn
£1.47bn
HK$15.39bn
ExchangesNASDAQ
AIM London
SEHK
SectorHealthcare
Company CodesHCM
HCM.L
0013.HK
Corporate clientYes

Company description

HUTCHMED is a Hong Kong headquartered biopharma focused on discovering, developing and commercialising innovative targeted therapeutics and immunotherapies to treat cancer and immunological diseases for the China and global markets.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

Scancell

Strategic transactions to unlock longer-term value

Lighthouse | 23 July 2026

Share this note

  • Scancell will acquire Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: NEUP) in an all-share reverse merger transaction whereby Scancell shareholders will own 86.3% and Neuphoria shareholders 13.7% of the combined company on a pro forma basis. On closing in late Q426, each Neuphoria share will be converted into 37.77 Scancell ADRs (1 ADR = 10 ordinary shares) and a non-transferable CVR connected to any potential future net proceeds from Neuphoria’s partnered assets. The enlarged entity will continue trading as Scancell (with Neuphoria an indirect wholly owned subsidiary) and maintain its AIM listing, while also establishing a NASDAQ Level 3 ADR (ticker: SCLT).
  • The primary driver is to facilitate a NASDAQ listing as a more liquid and visible domestic listing is a prerequisite for specialist US healthcare investors targeted by Scancell. Neuphoria is essentially a NASDAQ-listed shell after the Phase III failure of its lead asset in October 2025, with a strategic review implemented in December 2025. The merger is unanimously recommended by both boards. Alongside this transaction, Scancell is raising equity and debt funding of up to $89m (£66.6m) for the global Phase III registration trial of iSCIB1+ in advanced melanoma. Outstanding Redmile CLNs will also be converted into restricted ADSs and/or non-voting ordinary shares to ensure that post-completion Redmile holds <10% of the voting share capital.
  • New funding includes $15m (£11.3m) from a UK placing at 9p per ordinary share (29% discount to the prior close) via an accelerated book build ($12m, £9m) with new and existing UK institutional investors and a retail offer ($3m, £2.3m). Admission of new shares is expected on 28 July. Contingent on the merger closing, Scancell has (1) entered into a $39.1m (£29.2m) US private placement (PIPE) at an equivalent share/ADR price with commitments from new and existing shareholders (including Redmile and Vulpes); (2) signed a non-binding term sheet with Blackrock managed funds for an up to $25m ($18.7m) secured debt facility with four tranches through December 2027 ($7m is available prior to completion); and (3) expects at least $10m (£7.5m) of cash from Neuphoria (cash of $19.4m at 31 March 2026).
  • On close of all the above transactions, Scancell expects a pro forma net cash balance (before transaction costs) of around $79.1m (c £59.2m), extending the cash runway into 2029, beyond key clinical milestones including the iSCIB1+ Phase III primary readout in H228. Nearer-term news flow includes further Modi-1 data from the Phase II ModiFY trial, updates on the progress of iSCIB1+, plus mature PFS and OS data from the Phase II SCOPE study.

Trinity Delta view: We have argued that the strength of SCOPE data and costs of the proposed iSCIB1+ registration trial are such that in-house development should remain a primary consideration. Our June 2026 Update highlighted how securing funding to initiate the iSCIB1+ Phase III study would de-risk Scancell’s investment case and result in c £120m/$150m uplift in our rNPV valuation. Ahead of further confirmatory announcements connected with this transaction, we suspend our valuation and forecasts. For context, our last published Scancell valuation was £399m ($499m), or 38p per share (32p fully diluted).

Lighthouse

23 July 2026

Price12.75p
Market Cap£132.2m
Primary exchangeAIM London
SectorHealthcare
Company CodeSCLP
Corporate clientYes

Company description

Scancell is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology specialist. The key value drivers are iSCIB1+, the lead ImmunoBody programme, and Modi-1, the lead Moditope programme. The novel GlyMab glycan antibodies are earlier in development.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.

Avacta

Tumour-activated drug delivery demonstrated

Update | 7 July 2026

Share this note

Avacta’s investment case centres on how its pre|CISION-enabled PDC (peptide-drug conjugate) platform can widen the therapeutic window of potent oncology drugs, improve efficacy, and reduce toxicities. Faridoxorubicin (FAP-Dox), a Gen One compound, has proven the concept, but the real value, in our view, lies in the Gen Two and Gen Three opportunities. AVA6103 (FAP-EXd), the lead Gen Two programme, has started Phase I studies with the first clinical data by end-2026. FAP-EXd is a sustained release PDC of proven Topo I inhibitor, exatecan, whose utility is hampered by its toxicity. Successful proof-of-concept for FAP-EXd would open up sizeable clinical indications and act as a template for other currently suboptimal compounds. The lead Gen Three (dual payload) programme is progressing well through preclinical studies: the identity of the two components set to be revealed by end-2026. The news flow over the next 12 months should establish the utility, positioning, and value of the pre|CISION platform. Our valuation is £475m/$608m, or 101p/share.

Year-end: December 31202420252026E2027E
Revenue (£m)0.10.10.00.0
Adj. PBT (£m)(24.2)(26.0)(27.0)(28.0)
Net Income (£m)(22.9)(33.9)(32.9)(32.2)
Adj. EPS (p)(52.8)(38.6)(33.4)(32.7)
Cash (£m)(15.3)(9.7)(7.3)(6.8)
EBITDA (£m)17.816.924.5*14.5*
Source: Trinity Delta Note: Adjusted numbers exclude share-based payments and exceptionals. * FY26e and FY27e include £25m of cash inflows in each period (as illustrative short-term debt) which could come from various sources.
  • Clinical/translational data offer pre|CISION insights Further data will demonstrate the clinical value of pre|CISION PDC chemistries. Recent FAP-Dox Phase I SGC (salivary gland cancer) results at ASCO showcased preliminary efficacy and toxicity reduction. However, in our view, the Gen Two and Gen Three compounds have the potential to address larger commercial indications with products that materially improve therapeutic windows. FAP-Dox has successfully proven pre|CISION can deliver active drug selectively to the tumour site, with equivalent antitumour activity across all levels of FAP expression and FAP enzyme persistence despite tumour responses. The stage is now set for the chemistries to be used more widely.
  • AVA6103 first Phase I data by year-end Lead Gen Two asset, AVA6103 is actively recruiting patients in US sites, with first results expected H226. Preclinical work has created a highly targeted, sustained release version of exatecan, a potent Topo I inhibitor, with the potential to achieve high efficacy across many solid tumours, but with a more tolerable side-effect profile, and improved or at least equivalent payload delivery to marketed ADCs. Meanwhile, selection of the active elements of the lead Gen Three programme, the flexible dual payload structure, should occur in H226.
  • Valuation of £475m ($608m) or 101p/share (94p fully diluted) Cash of £16.4m provides a runway into Q127, covering several value inflection points. Future funding options include licensing/partnering deals, an additional NASDAQ listing, and further equity raises. Updating our rNPV model lifts our valuation from £471m ($603m) or 103p/share (90p fully diluted) to £475m ($608m), with a lower per share valuation of 101p due to dilution from the June equity raise (94p fully diluted).

Update

7 July 2026

Price73.00p
Market Cap£342.0m
Enterprise Value£325.6m
Shares in issue471.3m
12 month range30.0p-92.0p
Free float66.5%
Primary exchangeAIM London
Other exchangesN/A
SectorHealthcare
Company codesAVCT.L
Corporate clientYes

Company description

Avacta is a clinical stage biotech focused on the novel pre|CISION platform to generate peptide drug conjugates to target delivery of toxic payloads into the tumour microenvironment, which has the potential to expand the reach and reduce the systemic toxicities of highly potent cancer therapeutics. Two programmes, FAP-Dox (AVA6000) and FAP-Exd (AVA6103), are in clinical development.

Analysts

Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043

Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041

Avacta: clinical data will drive value inflection

Avacta’s investment case centres on its proprietary pre|CISION drug delivery platform, which aims to reduce the efficacy/toxicity trade off seen with many potent therapeutics, thus expanding their utility. pre|CISION is being harnessed to develop novel, highly targeted cancer drugs, and has been validated by lead programme AVA6000 (faridoxorubicin or FAP-Dox), a peptide-drug conjugate of doxorubicin. The next-generation AVA6103 (FAP-EXd), a tailored sustained release exatecan formulation, is in Phase I studies. A dual payload candidate will be selected for study before end-2026. Clinical and pipeline catalysts should provide multiple value inflection points over the next 12-18 months. Increasing industry awareness, coupled with growing investor confidence, has reduced the funding uncertainty that continues to plague many similarly sized biotech players. Our Avacta rNPV valuation, based on conservative assumptions, is £475m ($608m), equivalent to 101p/share (94p fully diluted).

Avacta is a pure play oncology biopharma company with management focused on exploiting the full potential of its proprietary pipeline and pre|CISION platform. It aims to develop a broad portfolio of peptide-drug conjugates (PDCs) that use its pre|CISION technology to improve the therapeutic index of many highly potent yet systemically toxic oncology drugs. The platform allows these compounds to remain inert until they are specifically activated by FAP-cleavage in the tumour microenvironment (TME). FAPα (fibroblast activation protein-α) is a tumour-associated enzyme expressed by cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs). This precise activation minimises systemic exposure and allows optimisation of dosing (higher or more frequent dosing) and/or broadens the therapeutic window for these otherwise highly potent and effective drugs.

Exhibit 1: pre|CISION broadens the therapeutic window of potent oncology drugs constrained by toxicities
Source: Avacta

The pre|CISION platform, described in detail in our November 2024 Outlook, has seen material enhancement in recent years as its potential has become better understood. It is very flexible and can be used to create highly tailored therapeutic conjugates that have specific characteristics. Briefly, FAP is primarily expressed as a membrane bound enzyme of CAFs in the TME, with only a small amount of FAP needed to cleave the linker and release the active payload either directly into the tumour cell or within the TME (the bystander effect). Around 90% of solid tumours express FAP and would be candidates for pre|CISION targeting (Exhibit 2). A collaboration with Tempus AI, employing its extensive real-world datasets, has helped identify the addressable patient populations and refine the selection of the most clinically promising and commercially relevant indications.

Exhibit 2: Market opportunity with Avacta’s pre|CISION drug candidates
Source: Avacta

The pipeline (Exhibit 3) includes the lead programme faridoxorubicin (AVA6000, FAP-Dox) a doxorubicin PDC; AVA6103 (FAP-EXd), a Phase I sustained release PDC targeting topoisomerase I (Topo I) via an exatecan payload; and AVA6207, the first dual payload PDC, a novel class of engineered biotherapeutics.

Exhibit 3: Avacta’s therapeutic pipeline
Source: Avacta

AVA6000 (FAP-Dox): SGC data package builds

Faridoxorubicin (FAP-Dox) is a relatively straightforward compound and can be viewed as a Gen One pre|CISION chemistry. FAP-Dox has played a pivotal role in that it has not only provided a better understanding of FAP biology but also effectively demonstrated the proof of concept for the pre|CISION technology. The clinical data so far (January 2026 Outlook) have shown targeted doxorubicin release in the TME (tumour to plasma concentration of 100:1), improved safety and tolerability vs standard doxorubicin with no dose-limiting toxicities nor cardiac safety signals (0% vs 6%-20% expected), and preliminary signs of efficacy in high grade soft tissue sarcomas (STS) and salivary gland cancer (SGC).

The SGC indication is attractive because of the strength of preliminary efficacy data released to date, most recently at ASCO 2026 (Exhibit 4). Data from the 38 evaluable SGC patients treated in the Phase Ia dose finding and Phase Ib dose expansion cohorts were consistent and showed durable tumour shrinkage, with over 90% disease control rate. Median progression free survival (PFS) data are not yet mature and progression events (eg tumour growth) continue to be collected. For context, median PFS was 3.5 months on conventional chemotherapy. SGC also offers more straightforward clinical development pathway as SGC is a chemo-refractory indication with no defined current treatment regimen.

Exhibit 4: AVA6000 durable tumour shrinkage in SGC
Source: Avacta  Note: data cut off 15/5/2026; all SGC patients (n=38) treated ≥ 250 mg/m2 dose level, regardless of schedule; median PFS not yet reached

FDA has agreed to key elements of the design of a single pivotal trial to support potential full regulatory approval in SGC, with a primary endpoint of PFS (Exhibit 5). This study will include both first line and second line patients in the most prevalent subsets of SGC (excluding rarer subtypes) and will evaluate a 310mg/m2 faridoxrubicin dose (equivalent to 209mg/m2 conventional doxorubicin) in 240 patients. Notably, Phase I data in the defined SGC patient group for the pivotal study (n=32) reveal that confirmed tumour responses have largely occurred in this group, with four partial responses and eight minor responses. FDA agreement on the regulatory pathway in SGC could see a first market launch of faridoxorubicin in 1L/2L mSGC in 2029/30 and should also aid ongoing faridoxorubicin partnering discussions; the start of the pivotal trial remains subject to partnering.

Exhibit 5: Faridoxorubicin pivotal Phase II trial design
Source: Avacta

Additionally, ASCO data confirmed a continued clean safety profile across 111 patients dosed with AVA6000, including several patients that reached the protocol-defined lifetime maximum doxorubicin exposure of 550 mg/m2. Across the pooled Phase Ia/Ib safety data, there was an absence of severe cardiac toxicity and only minimal changes in left ventricular function (LVEF) (seen in <4% of patients). At the recommended dose for expansion (RDE) of 310mg/m2 (n=48) incidence of toxicities were lower than historical rates observed with conventional doxorubicin, despite the RDE being equivalent to c 2.8x the maximum tolerated dose of conventional doxorubicin (75 mg/m2).

PK and exposure-response data that lead to the lifting of the lifetime maximum doxorubicin limit were also presented. Population PK modelling showed that the FAP-mediated release of active doxorubicin from faridoxorubicin results in limited systemic exposure, with higher clearance and larger central volume for distribution, vs conventional doxorubicin which is rapidly systemically distributed and eliminated more slowly (Exhibit 6). While the exposure-response analysis found no meaningful relationship between cardiac toxicity, specifically LVEF changes, and released doxorubicin exposure.

Exhibit 6: Preliminary population PK model vs conventional doxorubicin
Source: Avacta

These data, as well as first data in triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) once this has matured, should strengthen the partnership/licensing package. TNBC is the more significant commercial opportunity given both the unmet need (representing c 15-20% of new breast cancer diagnoses, but 35% of deaths) and widespread use of doxorubicin chemotherapy (particularly in the PD-L1 negative cohort), however it will require larger, and longer, trials. Assuming positive TNBC data and also subject to funding/partnership, a parallel pathway involving c 150 patients in a Phase II study and a further c 750 patients in a pivotal Phase III trial could result in a first 2L mTNBC market approval as early as 2031/32.

In addition to these encouraging efficacy and safety data, translational analyses from the faridoxorubicin Phase Ia/Ib study were recently presented at the BIO International Convention 2026. These analyses confirm two key attributes of the pre|CISION platform: (1) pre|CISION-enabled PDCs are active even when FAP expression is very low; and (2) FAP expression in the TME persists despite tumour response to the PDC. These findings are supported by the underlying principle that FAP is an extracellular enzyme and thus, unlike ADCs, pre|CISION PDCs do not need to be internalised by tumour cells for cleavage to occur.

A proportion of SGC patients were biopsied (n=26) and assessed with standard FAP immunohistochemistry (IHC) and tricolour immunofluorescence studies; two separate statistical analyses indicated no correlation between the FAP expression level and the degree of efficacy (ie tumour response). These analyses, coupled to case series in four SGC patients, indicate robust activity including at very low levels of FAP expression. A smaller cohort of SGC patients had serial FAPI-PET scans to assess changes in FAP expression over time. Preliminary results, from initial imaging data pre- and post-treatment in two patients that had tumour responses to faridoxorubicin, indicate that despite tumour shrinkage expression of FAP is not reduced. Further analysis from the FAPI-PET sub-study is due in Q326.

Confirmation that pre|CISION technology is applicable to and active in very low FAP settings opens a wider opportunity for the platform (including with other payloads) extending into the 90% of solid tumours that express varying levels of FAP. It also means that a biomarker-based companion diagnostic is unnecessary, ultimately reducing cost to payors, and that earlier approaches to optimising pre|CISION targeting in low-FAP tumour types (ie the AVA7100 Affimer-drug conjugate) are redundant and thus have been discontinued allowing resources to be better deployed in developing the Gen Two and Gen Three programmes.

AVA6103 (FAP-EXd): clinical data will be paramount

AVA6103 (FAP-EXd) is the lead second-generation (Gen Two) pre|CISION-enabled PDC. It has an exatecan payload and is intended to address the known limitations of this potent topoisomerase I (Topo I) inhibitor, ie severe dose-limiting toxicities (neutropenia, thrombocytopenia) and short half-life, through modifying its PK profile; and also improving tolerability by reducing systemic exposure to released exatecan. Here the pre|CISION molecule (Exhibit 7) consists of a capping group that is designed to hold the PDC in the FAP active site on the CAFs and a self-immolative linker that modulates the rate of cleavage, finely controling the release of active exatecan in the TME. The result is highly targeted delivery to the TME with sustained release of the now active payload directly into the tumour.

In April 2026 the first patient in the FOCUS-1 Phase I clinical study was treated with FAP-EXd. FOCUS is designed to generate robust data in six selected solid tumours: pancreatic ductal carcinoma (PDAC); gastric cancer (GC/GEC); colorectal cancer (CRC); cervical/vulvar cancers; small cell lung cancer (SCLC); and HR+ breast cancers. These indications have been specifically selected as part of the collaboration with Tempus AI to identify patients with the greatest likelihood of benefitting from the targeted delivery of a Topo I inhibitor to a FAP sensitive TME. This was determined through querying large real-world datasets to identify FAP-positive cancers with co-expression of SLNF11, a predictor for sensitivity and hence optimal responses to Topo I inhibition.

Exhibit 7: AVA6103 is the lead Gen Two programme
Source: Avacta

The FOCUS (FAP-Exd in Oncologic Cancers with Unmet needS) study is expected to recruit c 140 patients across seven to nine specialist US centres (Exhibit 8). Initial results from the Phase Ia dose escalation element (c 50 patients) are expected at end-2026, which should determine the recommended dose for expansion (RDE) and provide the first clinical proof of concept for AVA6103. We view these data as being central to any prospective partnering discussions. The Phase Ib expansion cohorts (c 90 patients), planned to start in early-2027, will assess indication-specific safety and provide early signs of efficacy (with overall response rate, progression-free survival, overall survival, disease control rate, and duration of response as the secondary endpoints).

Exhibit 8: AVA6103 Phase I FOCUS trial design
Source: Avacta  Notes BOIN Bayesian optimal interval design, MTD Maximum Tolerated Dose, and RDE Recommended Dose for Expansion

Impressive preclinical in vitro and in vivo data have been presented at the American Association of Cancer Research (AACR) meetings in 2025 and 2026. These have confirmed several important features of AVA6103:

  • Highly specific delivery of exatecan directly into the TME: up to 85-fold higher levels of exatecan in tumour cells vs plasma. By contrast, and as a benchmark, in the clinic and in preclinical models, FAP-Dox showed a four- to six-fold increase in the therapeutic index of doxorubicin;
  • Robust and broad-spectrum antitumor activity: AVA6103 showed deeper and more durable responses than achieved with conventional exatecan in multiple patient-derived xenograft models (colorectal, gastric, pancreatic and small cell lung cancers), with biomarker analyses indicating that this resulted from on-target effects of exatecan;
  • Sustained release of exatecan: compared with exatecan’s nine-hour half-life, the intact PDC is detectable in the tumour for >5 days, acting as a payload reservoir. The released exatecan is detectable in the tumour within minutes and continues for >5 days at concentrations that kill highly resistant tumour cells. Once released the plasma levels of exatecan are not detectable after 4 hours;
  • Demonstration of the bystander effect: co-culture assays show that AVA6103 optimises the bystander effect, with released exatecan able to enter FAP-negative tumour cells following cleavage by FAP-positive cancer associated fibroblasts, resulting in the killing of both FAP-positive CAFs and FAP-negative tumour cells;
  • Reassuringly high selectivity for FAP: free exatecan was only seen in the presence of the target FAP enzyme, whereas the closely structurally related DPP and PREP enzyme families showed exatecan levels comparable to no-enzyme controls.

Another preclinical exercise was an innovative AI-driven analysis to assess differences in payload delivery between the pre|CISION PDC platform and a market leading cleavable linker antibody drug conjugate (ADC). The aim was to assess published preclinical data for AstraZeneca/Daiichi Sankyo’s Enhertu (trastuzumab deruxtecan, T-Dxd) against preclinical data for AVA6103 in as comparable a way as possible. Enhertu, a class leading tumour-agnostic HER2-directed ADC used mainly for breast cancer, is based on an exatecan derivative and uses a cathepsin-cleavable linker, while AVA6103 couples sustained release chemistry with the targeted release FAP-cleavable linker. This comparative analysis showed that FAP-EXd had:

  • much more rapid drug penetration into the tumour, with Cmax occurring within minutes of dosing compared with T-Dxd Cmax at 24 hours;
  • a tumour concentration of 319nmol/L against 74.2nmol/L for T-Dxd, a four-fold improvement of free payload in the tumour; and
  • a TSI (Tumour Selectivity Index, ie the ratio of payload in the tumour against that in plasma) that was more than double that of T-Dxd.

Similar preclinical work also showed positive comparisons against Datroway (datopotamab deruxtecan-dlnk, TROP2-Dxd), also AstraZeneca/Daiichi Sankyo. Based on a similar ADC structure, whereas Enhertu targets HER2 (Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2) like Herceptin’s trastuzumab, Datroway targets TROP2 (Trophoblast Cell-Surface Antigen 2). TROP2 is heavily overexpressed in many solid tumours, including TNBC, urothelial carcinoma, NSCLC, and various digestive neoplasms. The studies again showed a faster delivery and drug release to the tumours, with a better tumour to plasma concentration and longer period within the therapeutic range.

Exhibit 9: Significantly higher tumour selectivity with pre|CISION delivery vs cleavable ADCs
Source: Avacta
Exhibit 10: pre|CISION PDC can address the challenges facing traditional ADCs
Source: Avacta

These preclinical findings quantify the improved selectivity and exposure profile possible with payload delivery by a pre|CISION PDC vs established, commercially successful ADCs. Our January 2026 Outlook details the expected benefits of a pre|CISION PDC over ADCs. In summary, as outlined in Exhibit 10, PDC payload release is highly tumour specific, resulting in much reduced toxicities; their size conveys small molecule levels of tumour penetration, coupled with extracellular payload release; FAP is expressed by 90% of all solid tumours, with the strong bystander effect resulting in efficacy in even low FAP environments; and manufacture is relatively straightforward and inexpensive. This latter point should also mean that small molecule manufacturing of PDCs, and a less complex supply chain, translates into potential health economics benefits over ADCs. We highlight that the manufacture of the monoclonal antibody component the most expensive and time-consuming part of the ADC process, noting Daichi Sankyo’s FY25 $610m impairment charge connected to securing ADC manufacturing capacity.

AVA6207: Gen Three, the first dual payload PDC

AVA6207 will be the first dual payload PDC programme, exploiting new linker chemistry to allow a single PDC molecule to deliver two diverse and/or complementary therapeutic payloads simultaneously to the TME. These payloads are attached to a self-immolative linker that can be tuned to release both, following a single FAP cleavage event, in a finely controlled manner. The kinetics of payload release can be adjusted, providing great flexibility and allowing optimisation of the therapeutic profiles of numerous different payload combinations (Exhibit 11). The clinical appeal is in the blocking of tumour resistance mechanisms that typically arise against single-agent therapies and/or maximising the therapeutic effect through the delivery of two payloads that attack the same tumour cells through different mechanisms.

Exhibit 11: AVA6207 will be the lead Gen Three programme
Source: Avacta

Preclinical studies have examined the Topo I inhibitor (Topo1i) exatecan and DDR (DNA Damage Response) inhibitors as the dual payloads in a number of in vivo and in vitro cancer models. DDR is a complex cellular network that identifies and repairs genetic damage and ATR (Ataxia-telangiectasia and Rad3-related) is a master kinase protein that sits at the very heart of this. The inhibition of these DDR pathways is seen as a promising anti-tumour strategy, with therapies that combine a direct acting therapeutic with DDR inhibition to avoid resistance (DDR is a key resistance mechanism to Topo I inhibition), that could result in improved clinical outcomes. The studies have examined a FAP-Topo1i/ATRi dual payload compound and have shown greater potency than FAP-Topo1i alone (Exhibit 12). Early preclinical data was presented in a poster at AACR-NCI-EORTC Molecular Targets and Cancer Therapeutics 2025.

Exhibit 12: Dual payload compounds elicit a stronger anti-tumour effect than Topo1i alone
Source: Avacta

The levels of dual payload compound release were assessed in the tumour and in plasma and showed high intratumoral concentration of the individual Topo1i and ATRi actives and a low plasma concentration for both. The TSI (Tumour Selectivity Index), a measure of preferential tumour concentration of the payload, showed high selectivity with TSI for Topo1i ranging from 64 to 320 and for ATRi ranging from 325 to 527. In terms of efficacy, both Topo I and ATR levels showed the predicted target engagement was achieved, and durable complete responses were seen (Exhibit 13).

Exhibit 13: Dual payload compounds demonstrate durable complete responses in animal models
Source: Avacta

Similar synergistic improvement in potency could be achieved by combining two distinct anti-cancer mechanisms with established clinical activity. For example, a combination of a microtubule inhibition (MMAE, Monomethyl Auristatin E) and Topo I inhibition (exatecan) has been shown to provide greater and longer lasting anti-tumour activity. These potent Gen Three compounds should retain the favourable toxicity profiles of the Gen Two compounds as payload release is dependent on the presence of FAP-positive CAFs.

The optimisation work is underway, with the first candidate of the Gen Three portfolio expected to be selected late in H226.

Valuation and Financials

We value Avacta using a sum-of-the-parts model, comprising risk-adjusted NPVs (net present value) for the disclosed pipeline assets, and an indicative placeholder valuation for the pre|CISION platform. More details on the rationale for each are available in our January 2026 Outlook. The rNPVs are summed and then netted against unallocated operating costs and net cash (excluding the convertible bond, CB, which we assume will be settled through issuing shares). Our valuation has been updated post FY25 results, rolled forwards in time, and reflects latest management project timeline expectations. We include the June raise in our financial model but given that these funds are earmarked for settling three CB repayments there is a net neutral valuation impact. These changes lift our valuation to £475m (from £471m), equivalent to 101p per share based on the most recent share count (or 94p/share fully diluted for future shares to settle the CB); the key assumptions underpinning our valuation are shown in Exhibit 14.

Exhibit 14: Avacta sum of the parts valuation
Source: Trinity Delta   Note: assumptions include a 12.5% discount factor; £/$ FX rate of 1.28; * blended valuation comprising an orphan opportunity at 60% and a larger partnering opportunity at 20%

Avacta is now a pure therapeutics business, however reported FY25 revenues of £6.3m (FY24: £24.4m) consist of continuing operations of £0.1m (FY24: £0.1m) and discontinued operations of £6.2m (FY24: £24.3m). On a continuing operations basis, R&D expenses were £18.8m (FY24: £14.3m), largely due to the ongoing spend on both AVA6000 and AVA6103. SG&A expenses decreased to £10.0m (FY24: £12.0m) as FY24 included £2.0m in exceptional items (£1.1m for termination payments and settlement agreements; £0.7m legal and professional fees; and £0.2m related to the winding down of the Diagnostics division). FY25 Operating loss was £30.7m (FY24: £32.6m). Accounting for the non-cash items relating to the convertible bond (see below), the FY25 Net Loss from continuing operations was £37.1m (FY24: £29.4m), with discontinued operations being £1.3m (FY24: £23.4m). The two non-core diagnostics businesses, Coris Bioconcept SRL and Launch Diagnostics Holdings, were sold for £2.2 million in September 2025 and for £12.9 million in March 2025 respectively.

In August 2025 the £55m senior, unsecured Convertible Bonds (CB) issued in October 2022 were amended (September 2025 Lighthouse). The difference between the carrying amount of the original debt liability and the fair value of the new debt liability resulted in a gain on derecognition of financial liabilities of £2.0m, which has been recognised in the P&L. The December 2025 debt liability was £13.4m (FY24: £20.5m), with a carrying amount of the derivative liability of £2.8m (FY24: £1.3m). Interest expense was £7.0m (FY24: £9.9m) with a loss of £1.5m (FY24: gain of £13.7m) on the derivative liability. The debt element of the CB was £13.4m (FY24: £20.5m), with a derivative liability of £2.8m (FY24: £1.3m). The principal outstanding was £20.4m at end-2026, with this falling to £19.2m following the conversion of £1.2m of CBs in May 2026.

End-December 2025 cash was £16.9m (end-December 2024: £12.9m); operating cash outflows were £22.6m, £9.9m was received from the Launch Diagnostics and Coris Bioconcept divestments, and net financing activities were an inflow of £16.6m (of which shares issued of £22.5m was offset by CB repayment of £5.1m). In March 2026 an over-subscribed equity issue raised £10m, resulting in the net cash position rising to £16.4m. The cash runway currently extends to Q127.

The recent £9m gross (c £8.5m net) equity raise (June 2026 Lighthouse) will be directed solely towards settling three upcoming CB repayments in cash, specifically the January 2026 and April 2026 payments that were deferred to October 2027 as well as one additional quarterly payment. This strategic raise enabled Avacta to secure equity funding at a more favourable price (70p per share vs the lower reference prices of c 48.75p and c 64.65p for the January and April quarters respectively) and resulting in less dilution than settling these two quarterly repayments in new shares.

As a reminder the amended terms of the CB allow the bond holders to accelerate the repayment of one or both deferred payments, in either cash or shares, from the earliest of: 30 June 2026, or the data readout of the faridoxorubicin Phase Ib study in TNBC. Additionally, from October 2026 bondholders could accelerate a quarterly repayment subject to a maximum of one acceleration per quarter. For the purposes of our model, during FY26 we now assume that both the deferred January and April 2026 and the next scheduled (July 2026) quarterly repayments are settled in cash, with the October 2026 repayment made through share issuance. We continue to assume that the CB and coupon are fully paid by October 2027 ie five years from issuance, and that this will be through issuing shares (either directly or indirectly).

Our updated forecasts following FY25 results include increasing R&D investment as progress is maintained and larger trials are initiated and progressed for Gen Two and Three assets. We forecast R&D spend of £17.7m in FY26e and £18.6m in FY27e. For SG&A we forecast only incremental growth on FY26e (£9.3m) in FY27e (£9.5m).

Our updated forecasts are in line with management commentary of a cash runway into Q127. This is sufficient to reach a number of key milestones, including first data from the Phase I trial for FAP-EXd (AVA6103) by end-2026, and the payload and candidate selection for the first of the Gen Three combination products, also by late H226.  For the purposes of our model, we include £25m of cash inflows in each of FY26 and FY27 (as illustrative short-term debt) which could come from a variety of sources, including potential proceeds from partnership, licensing, or collaboration deals (where we have limited visibility on likely timing or magnitude), and debt and/or equity funding (including a possible NASDAQ listing).

Exhibit 15: Summary of financials
Source: Avacta, Trinity Delta. Note: Adjusted numbers exclude exceptionals. FY26e and FY27e each include £25m of cash inflows (as illustrative short-term debt) which could come from various sources.

 

Disclaimer

Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number:  725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.

ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.

In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.

Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents.  Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions.  The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.

This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.

Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.