Trinity Delta view: Avacta is now funded through to the early data from the first patients on therapeutic doses of AVA6103 in the Phase I/II FOCUS study; these should provide the first clinical insights on efficacy, kinetics and toxicity. Confirmation of the expected targeted tumour localisation and a reduction in systemic toxicity would be an essential validation step; not simply demonstrating that AVA6103 proposed mechanism is working but de-risking the wider next gen pre|CISION platform. We believe such data should also act as the natural catalysts to drive meaningful commercial partnerships. In the interim, AVA6207, the lead dual payload programme, is close to candidate selection and targeting an IND around end-2027/early 2028. Our Avacta valuation and forecasts are currently suspended; for context, our last published valuation was £525m, or 111p/share (105p fully diluted).
Lighthouse
6 October 2026
| Price | 68.5p |
| Market Cap | £335.4m |
| Primary exchange | AIM |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company Code | AVCT |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
Avacta is a clinical stage biotech focused on the novel pre|CISION platform to generate peptide-drug conjugates to target delivery of toxic payloads into the tumour microenvironment, which has the potential to expand the reach and reduce the systemic toxicities of highly potent cancer therapeutics. Lead programme faridoxorubicin is in Phase Ib, AVA6103 is in Phase Ia, and multiple next generation candidates are in preclinical development.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Disclaimer
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Scancell is a late-stage clinical oncology specialist developing novel, “off-the-shelf” active immunotherapies. The investment case is being transformed by an elegant dual NASDAQ/AIM listing and comprehensive funding package. Following a multi-step acquisition and financing package, the iSCIB1+ programme is now fully funded to enter its global, c 550-patient registrational Phase III study in late-2026. This complex series of actions removes historical UK capital overhangs and extends the cash runway into 2029. Importantly, accessing the deep US life sciences capital pools ensures long-term support for all the promising pipeline programmes. Near-term catalysts remain plentiful, including maturing Phase II SCOPE data, interim ModiFY synergy updates, and potential milestone payments from the GlyMab antibody portfolio. Our updated rNPV valuation for Scancell is £408m ($530m), equivalent to 34p/share.
| Year-end: April 30 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E |
| Revenues (£m) | 0.0 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 |
| EBITDA (£m) | (17.3) | (14.1) | (18.4) | (28.4) |
| PBT (£m) | (9.1) | (15.3) | (20.7) | (30.1) |
| Net Income (£m) | (5.9) | (12.3) | (19.2) | (27.9) |
| EPS (p) | (0.68) | (1.26) | (1.85) | (2.48)* |
| Cash (£m) | 14.8 | 16.9 | 1.9 | (3.3) |
Update
6 October 2026
| Price | 9.40p |
| Market Cap | £127.5m |
| Enterprise Value | £110.7m |
| Shares in issue | 1,212.2m |
| 12 month range | 7.26-29.50p |
| Free float | 56.5% |
| Primary exchange | AIM London |
| Other exchanges | N/A |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company Code | SCLP.L |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
Scancell is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology specialist. The key value drivers are iSCIB1+, the lead ImmunoBody programme, and Modi-1, the lead Moditope programme. The novel GlyMab glycan antibodies are earlier in development.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 20 3637 5041
Scancell is a clinical-stage oncology specialist developing immunotherapies. Its investment case has been transformed by the dual NASDAQ/AIM listing and comprehensive funding package currently underway. Its differentiated portfolio is anchored around two novel ‘off-the-shelf’ platforms, ImmunoBody and Moditope, complemented by the GlyMab antibody platform. Following a complex acquisition and financing arrangement, the lead iSCIB1+ programme will now be fully funded to enter its global c 550-patient registrational Phase III study in late-2026. This removes historical capital overhangs, extending the cash runway into 2029 while accessing the deep US life sciences capital pools allows support for all platform progression. Near-term catalysts remain plentiful: iSCIB1+ SCOPE Phase II data continues to mature ahead of calendar H127 updates, interim ModiFY data will clarify lead asset Modi-1’s synergy with checkpoint inhibitors, and the GlyMab portfolio is positioned to trigger milestone payments upon clinical entry. Our rNPV valuation is £408m, or 34p/share, with further upside potential as development visibility increases.
Scancell is part-way through a series of carefully orchestrated corporate actions that will transform the business. The goal is to create a well-funded dual NASDAQ and AIM listed entity that can progress its promising lead asset, iSCIB1+, through to interim data in its registrational Phase III trial. The outcome will be a pro-forma net cash balance of c £59.2m (c $79.1m) before costs, and a cash runway that extends beyond the pivotal iSCIB1+ clinical read-out scheduled for calendar H228. The complexity of the transactions reflects the reality of the structural limitations faced by AIM listed companies when their lead asset(s) successfully progress through the later stages of clinical development. These capital constraints are not new and are well documented (Bleeding to death: the science and technology growth emergency), yet a lack of timely political and regulatory action means proactive managements have little choice but to cross the Atlantic.
The transaction architecture (Exhibit 1) deliberately combines the acquisition of a NASDAQ-listed cash shell, a planned US private equity placement (PIPE), a flexible non-dilutive debt instrument, and a UK institutional placement and retail offer to allow local investors to maintain their positions (and benefit from the pricing discount). It is worth dissecting the anatomy of the deals as this is not merely a capital raising exercise, and each transaction fulfils a distinct and complementary role in this pathway to a NASDAQ listing.
The first step sees Scancell acquire Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: NEUP) in an all-share “reverse merger” transaction whereby Scancell shareholders own 85.5% and Neuphoria shareholders 14.5% of the combined company on a pro forma basis. On closing, expected late Q426/early Q127, each Neuphoria share will convert into 37.77 Scancell ADSs (1 ADS = 10 ordinary shares) and a non-transferable CVR (contingent value right) connected to any potential future net proceeds from Neuphoria’s partnered assets. The enlarged entity will then continue trading as Scancell (with Neuphoria an indirect wholly owned subsidiary) and maintain its AIM listing, while also establishing a NASDAQ Level 3 ADS (ticker: SCLT).
The role of the CVRs is to allow existing Neuphoria holders to benefit from any potential upside in the legacy assets although, realistically, the likelihood is acknowledged as being low. The CVRs also, indirectly, ensure Scancell’s core oncology portfolio is insulated from Neuphoria’s historical activities.
In October 2025 Neuphoria’s lead asset BNC210, an oral negative modulator of alpha-7 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (α7-nAChR) for anxiety, failed in the Phase III AFFIRM-1 trial for Social Anxiety Disorder (SAD). Subsequently, partner MSD (Merck Sharp & Dohme) conducted a pre-specified interim analysis on MK-1167, a positive modulator of α7-nAChR that was in a Merck-funded Phase II study for Alzheimer’s, and found it too had failed to meet the efficacy threshold. Two early-stage monoclonal antibody programme targeting cancer stem cells (BNC101 and BNC105) were previously out-licensed to Carina Biotech.
A more promising, although admittedly small, legacy upside rests within the 4.65% holding Neuphoria, then known as Bionomics, had in the Australian CTx CRC consortium with the programme involving small-molecule inhibitors targeting KAT6A and KAT6B lysine acetyltransferases. Pfizer bought the global exclusive rights and it is progressing though Phase III combination and Phase I monotherapy trials in HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer. The CVRs have been deliberately fixed at 15 years from deal closure to allow for the Merck and Pfizer partnerships to be given an appropriate multi-year runway to mature fully.
Neuphoria’s strategic review, initiated in December 2025, slashed its operations and minimised its cost base to become effectively a cash shell. This troubled period, during which activist shareholder Lynx1 Master Fund launched a short-lived hostile bid, resulted in a market cap averaging c $21m, with a high of $25.7m and a low of $15.7m. This suggested an underlying, net of forecast cash, valuation for a clean NASDAQ listing of $11m, at the lower end of the $12m to $15m that is anecdotally attributed to an unencumbered shell in the biotech space.
Scancell announced on July 23, 2026, that it was acquiring Neuphoria in an all-share transaction for 204.14m new ordinary shares (equivalent to 20.41m ADS) priced at 9p per share (or $12.05 cents), the same as the rest of the equity raise elements). Based on current assumptions and reflecting the 10:1 share consolidation planned to be effective on October 21, this would mean issuance of 20.4m consideration shares to Neuphoria shareholders. The deal is conditional on a minimum of $10m in cash being transferred at close. This values the acquisition at c $24.6m and implies Scancell is paying c $14.6m (albeit in shares not cash) for this NASDAQ listing.
The merits of a NASDAQ listing for Scancell are, in our view, clear. An oncology pioneer such as Scancell cannot rely solely on UK capital to fund a global, registrational Phase III trial; the specialised healthcare funds that have the multi-billion-dollar resources and technical expertise necessary to value and support late-stage immunotherapy platforms are largely in the US and are reluctant to invest in AIM stocks; and, whilst a NASDAQ listing is not a panacea for all corporate and financing ills, history repeatedly shows partnering transactions (especially with US majors) have greater likelihood of completing for companies with the visibility and credibility that accompanies being on NASDAQ.
If the premise of the need to migrate to a dual listing is accepted, then the question becomes which route is better. There are pros and cons to both principal pathways, with the key features examined in Exhibit 2. While a traditional IPO remains the gold standard for well-capitalised US biotechs with deep domestic ties, it represents a lengthy, costly, and executive-draining path for foreign, smaller entities, luxuries that European clinical-stage companies with tight capital runways can ill afford. For an asset-rich but capital-constrained company like Scancell, the cash shell acquisition route offers a viable alternative. By merging into an existing, compliant NASDAQ vehicle, Scancell circumvents the public roadshow, caps its transaction expenses in equity rather than cash, and accelerates its listing timeline. We would argue the cash shell alternative provides Scancell with a safer, faster, and more cost-effective entry onto the global stage.
The first step in securing the funding for iSCIB1+ was the domestic capital raise. This was structured as a parallel UK institutional placing and a retail offer, initially targeting £9.0m and up to £2.3m respectively. Although totally separate from the US PIPE, the placement and offer should be viewed in the context of the larger planned US transactions, explaining the pricing framework that was established across all tranches. Scancell’s largest institutional insiders, Redmile Group and Vulpes Investment Management, did not participate in this placing, with their capital commitment directed into the conditional US PIPE tranche.
Panmure Liberum and WG Partners addressed UK institutional investors with strong demand resulting in an oversubscribed book partially satisfied through upsizing the raise to £13.0m. Shares were intentionally placed with long-standing shareholders, allowing them to maintain their positions on equivalent terms as the US PIPE investors, although several select new investors were brought on board.
The retail offer had to meet similarly tight timelines and used the Winterflood Retail Access Platform (WRAP). This route allowed investors to apply for shares through their existing stockbrokers as normal. As total applications exceeded the initial £2.3m limit, the retail tranche was upsized to £2.7m, with final allocations scaled back to ensure a fair distribution across the existing retail base. This brought the total raised to £15.7m (gross) which, not being contingent on either the Neuphoria acquisition or the PIPE raise, immediately secures Scancell’s cash runway to Q2 calendar 2027 and allows management to plan the Phase III study whilst legal and regulatory processes for the acquisition and PIPE are underway.
Scancell has sought to minimise shareholder dilution through using debt in combination with the equity raises. To understand how this non-dilutive portion of the capital programme works, the $25m (c £18.7m) senior secured debt facility with various Blackrock managed funds should be viewed chronologically. The loan facility is structured into four tranches, separating immediate working capital from the later conditions of the US transactions:
Each debt tranche includes an initial 18-month interest-only period, followed by standard repayment of principal and interest. There is also a warrant facility with Kreos Capital, a Blackrock affiliate, which will be pro rata to actual amounts drawn down. The number of ordinary shares issued at warrant exercise will be equal to 4.5% of the amount borrowed (ie $1.15m) priced at 9p per share (the pricing of the PIPE) or, if this does not complete, the lower of the price paid in any future equity financing or the 30-day VWAP following announcement that the PIPE will not complete. Warrants are exercisable up to 10 years from grant or on sale of the company. The debt financing (including draw down and warrant issue) is subject to shareholder approval at the EGM, and we note that all pricing remains subject to adjustment for the share consolidation.
The cornerstone of the capital programme is a conditional $39.1m (c £29.2m) US Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE). Unlike the UK placing, the PIPE is contingent upon the formal closing of the Neuphoria acquisition. The transaction is engineered to settle simultaneously, planned for late calendar Q426/early Q127 but acknowledging that delays can occur. The whole package is designed to satisfy the numerous NASDAQ listing conditions, including financial and price regulations (eg a $4.00 minimum bid price) and liquidity and distribution rules (eg a minimum of 300 to 450 public shareholders holding 100+ shares and at least three market makers).
The PIPE is underpinned by Scancell’s two largest existing shareholders, Redmile Group and Vulpes Investment Management, who continue to demonstrate their unstinting support. Additional new, accredited, shareholders are known to have expressed interest in taking part in the US element of the equity raise. Leerink Partners, TD Cowen, and HC Wainwright & Co are acting as placement agents.
By placing this new capital within a US-regulated vehicle, these funds seed and enable the incoming NASDAQ Level 3 ADS line from day one. This provides an immediate institutional depth on the US listing without forcing management to be reliant on targeting investors through a series of roadshows.
The placement is priced at $0.1205 per ordinary share equivalent, which matches the 9.0p per share established in the UK. This was the requirement to secure the US capital and, once the US investors set the $0.1205 pricing floor, UK securities laws required Scancell to offer identical terms to its domestic shareholders.
Alongside the new cash investment, Redmile will convert its entire outstanding Convertible Loan Note (CLN) balance into non-voting new ordinary shares (or ADS equivalents), adjusted for dilutive financing impact. This removes the company’s primary legacy debt overhang, allowing Scancell to present a clean, unencumbered balance sheet to the US market at closing.
To accommodate the scale of Redmile’s combined cash injection and CLN conversion, a significant portion of their new equity will be issued as non-voting ordinary shares (or restricted ADSs). This is a technical mechanism that allows Redmile to maintain its financial backing of the global iSCIB1+ Phase III trial without breaching the 30% takeover threshold mandated by the UK Takeover Code. Post-completion Redmile intends to hold <10% of the voting share capital.
The pathway to completion requires navigating a series of concurrent corporate, investor, and regulatory clearances across both UK and US jurisdictions. As the initial UK capital injection has been successfully accomplished, the checklist now shifts to closing of the acquisition, implementation of the NASDAQ listing, and trigger of the remaining capital inflows. The immediate timeline and core hurdles are as follows:
Management is currently tracking a definitive transaction close in late calendar Q426/early Q127. There is a back stop of 28 February 2027 (end date), which may be extended by a further 60 days if the SEC has not yet declared the F-4 effective. As mentioned previously, by uncoupling the UK placement/offer from these final steps, Scancell’s development team is fully funded to advance early Phase III prep-work, while the corporate legal teams work to clear these regulatory gates over the coming months.
Scancell’s lead asset, iSCIB1+, is completing the Phase II SCOPE study of SCIB1/iSCIB1+ in combination with doublet checkpoint inhibitors (Yervoy [ipilimumab] plus Opdivo [nivolumab]) in advanced melanoma. SCOPE’s primary aim is to demonstrate that SCIB1/iSCIB1+ in combination with CPI doublet therapy acts synergistically and achieves improved clinical outcomes. The data to date have been detailed previously (November 2025 Outlook) and indicate that the iSCIB1+ construct elicits broad, potent and specific immune responses, with a clean safety profile and no unexpected toxicities.
The latest data confirm progression-free survival (PFS) in the target HLA population of 77% at 22 months. This compares with a reported PFS of 43% at 22 months for ipilimumab plus nivolumab alone, the current standard of care. For context, the median PFS of 11.5 months achieved by the CPI doublet in the CheckMate-067 trial is the highest observed in such advanced melanomas, with a median PFS of 7.9 months from real-world data. Further PFS and early overall survival (OS) data from SCOPE are expected to report in calendar H127.
These data have supported positive interactions with the FDA, with IND clearance in January 2026 for the Phase III trial of iSCIB1+ (plus doublet CPI) in advanced melanoma (Exhibit 3). This was expanded with the grant of Fast Track Designation (FTD) in April 2026, which acknowledges the unmet medical need in advanced melanoma and allows for frequent engagement with regulators, alongside the potential for rolling reviews of future regulatory submissions. FDA agreement on the proposed trial design should smooth the path for ongoing discussions with the EMA in Europe and other key regulators. MHRA clinical trial approval was granted in the UK in August 2026.
The FDA grants expedited pathways to investigational therapies where the preliminary clinical data show a substantial improvement over existing standard of care options. Aside from the confirmation of the perceived clinical value it conveys, the FTD allows for accelerated approval based on PFS data, with the full approval typically given when the OS data has matured. For Scancell this translates not simply into potentially quicker and more predictable timelines, but it should reduce the uncertainties inherent in regulatory approvals.
The iSCIB1+ registrational study design will involve c 550 patients with stage III/IV unresectable melanoma in a two-arm design that has 1:1 randomisation to standard of care (ipilimumab + nivolumab) with or without iSCIB1+ (c 275 patients in each). The trial is a multi-centre, double-blinded study spanning c 90 centres across the US (most likely the majority), UK, and Europe. As established in SCOPE, the target population includes HLA haplotypes A2, A3, A31, B35, B44, and Bw4, and excludes acral melanoma and active brain metastases. The dose is confirmed as 8mg intramuscularly, with up to eleven weekly doses. The trial has an adaptive design and there is an option for the patient numbers to be increased.
The primary efficacy endpoint is PFS (Progression Free Survival), a survival endpoint increasingly favoured by regulators as it provides a clear and meaningful measure of real patient benefit. A secondary endpoint of OS (Overall Survival), which is still viewed by many as the “gold standard” benchmark, will also be assessed. The study incorporates a pre-specified data read-out after a certain number of expected PFS events, that should be at around month 24, which could have a 90% statistical power and support an accelerated approval. Assuming the first patient enrolment is before end-2026, and recruitment remains uneventful, the interim PFS should be available in H228.
The trial has a further pre-specified read out of OS events, which in our view could occur around month 48, ie H230, and that would support full approval. The follow-up element would continue, monitoring OS to completion. Our launch assumptions and clinical ramp-up reflect this indicative timeline, with our conservative forecasts based on uptake increasing materially leading up to and following full approval (this should overlap with regulatory and reimbursement approvals across other major markets).
The appointment of an experienced and proven CRO (Contract Research Organisation) is an important step in taking iSCIB1+ into a complex and multi-geography clinical trial. Such a specialist partner can rapidly establish the heavy background infrastructure, such as data networks and safety monitoring, needed to ensure its smooth running and clear the administrative hurdles quickly so that the selected sites can be signed up promptly. The financial markets view the enrolment of the first patient as a major de-risking event as it typically signifies the appropriate funding is in place and the medical institutions are comfortable placing their patients on the trial.
The iSCIB1+ opportunity is attractive with the potential to shift the standard of care in advanced melanoma if the durable results seen to date are replicated in the registrational trial. This is a directly positive outcome for patients as it means they can live for longer without their disease worsening. There remains an unmet need in this group of patients; despite CPIs improving patient outcomes, only around 50% of patients maintain a long-term benefit, with the remainder either relapsing or becoming refractory to CPI treatment.
More broadly, Scancell has highlighted future upside potential in earlier disease settings such as neoadjuvant/adjuvant resectable melanoma (where additional improvement in outcomes might be achieved given the less frail patient population) or as a preventative therapy in certain high-risk groups.
Our current Scancell valuation and iSCIB1+ peak sales assumption only considers the advanced melanoma indication where there is visibility on the clinical plans and regulatory timelines, but we do note the upside potential for iSCIB1+ in earlier disease settings, such as neoadjuvant/adjuvant resectable melanoma. This is based on activity observed in an earlier Phase I monotherapy study with SCIB1 examining varying doses (ranging from 0.1mg to 8mg) in 35 patients with partially and fully resected stage III/IV melanoma. A striking finding was that all patients were alive at the 39-month cut off and 10 of 16 patients (those on doses >2mg) were disease free at 60 months.
Assuming the current funding programme is secured, management is evaluating the initiation of a Phase II trial (Exhibit 4) in the neoadjuvant (before surgery) and adjuvant (post-surgery) settings in calendar H127. The trial design is expected to evaluate three treatment regimens: Arm 1 with iSCIB1+ as monotherapy; Arm 2 dosing iSCIB1+ in combination with pembrolizumab (Keytruda); Arm 3, effectively the control, with pembrolizumab monotherapy.
We note that topline Phase III readout of the first combination regimen in adjuvant melanoma, Merck/Moderna’s personalised mRNA cancer vaccine, intismeran, in combination with pembrolizumab, recently demonstrated improved EFS. Full results will be presented at a future conference.
The National Institutes of Health estimate there will be c 112k new cases of melanoma in the US in 2026, rising by 2.2% over the near term (the 117k figure of Exhibit 5 used by management as the addressable market by the time of iSCIB1+ potential first approval) and growing by 2%-4% through to 2040. Of these, c 94k cases will present with localised (Stages I & II) or resectable regional (Stage IIIA), where the spread is to a single lymph node (corresponding to the c 98k patient figure below). Stages IIIB to IIID and Stage IV are more severe, where the lesion has broken through the skin or has metastasised. Stage IIIB through to Stage IV collectively represent c 19k patients, of which 80% are eligible for iSCIB1+ treatment due to their HLA status (the c 16k forecast in 2028).
The main five European markets, together with Australia, are expected to have similar populations, with growth rates averaging 4%-5%. The key difference between these patient groups will be the rate of clinical adoption, fastest in the US and probably slowest in the UK, France and Germany, and the degree of pricing power (lowest in the national health services of Europe). Whilst there are understandably many variables, management estimates the global peak sales for iSCIB1+ to be c $3bn in the unresectable and metastatic indications, rising to $6bn to $9bn if iSCIB1+ proves to provide a similar improvement to that seen in the SCOPE study when used in combination with pembrolizumab in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting.
At this stage we have not included iSCIB1+ use in these wider settings in our modelling. Whilst we believe our policy of deliberately employing conservative assumptions is appropriate, we also feel that investors should be aware of the potential wider opportunities should iSCIB1 demonstrate efficacy and safety successfully in the forthcoming pivotal Phase III trial and, importantly, the proposed Phase II study in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting. Promising progress in these trials are the value inflection points, as success probabilities would rise and market opportunities widen.
With the ImmunoBody platform in the limelight, it is easy to overlook Scancell’s other “off-the-shelf” therapeutic vaccine platform: Moditope, a novel approach that stimulates a cytotoxic CD4 T-cell response. Moditope effectively generates an immune response against cells undergoing autophagy (a vital survival process for most cancer cells) by targeting a modification on proteins. Autophagy is particularly pronounced in the hypoxic core of expanding tumours, prior to angiogenesis and the establishment of new vasculature. During this process, stress-induced post-translational modifications (siPTMs) and proteolytic cleavage generate modified peptides that accumulate at higher levels in tumours compared to normal tissues. Exceptional results have been observed in preclinical studies, and the aim is to replicate these in the current clinical Phase II trial programme.
Modi-1, the lead Moditope programme, is being evaluated in the Phase I/II ModiFY multi-cohort basket study across a range of difficult-to-treat solid tumours as monotherapy and in combination with standard of care checkpoint inhibitors (Exhibit 6). The study is fully recruited with over 120 patients enrolled over 16 sites in the UK. Encouraging early efficacy was seen both as monotherapy and in combination, with good T-cell responses, in various hard-to-treat cancers, including head & neck, ovarian, and triple negative breast cancer. In HPV negative head and neck cancer, three of seven patients saw a partial response at their week 25 scan. The ORR (objective response rate) was 43%, which compares to historical ORRs of 19% for pembrolizumab and 13% for nivolumab.
PFS results from the two Phase II cohorts, exploring Modi-1 in squamous cell cancer of head and neck (SSCHN) in combination with pembrolizumab and in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) in combination with ipilimumab and nivolumab, are expected to be released in calendar 2026. As with iSCIB1+, the combination of Modi-1 with CPIs could be highly synergistic and lead to improved patient outcomes. These Phase II data will inform the development strategy.
GlyMabs are specialised anti-glycan monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) that target tumour-specific sugar motifs rather than proteins. Aberrant glycosylation is a hallmark of many cancers, shaping nearly every stage of tumour initiation, progression, and metastasis. Importantly, these are not random by-products of disordered biosynthesis in malignant cells; rather, they represent precise and reproducible alterations closely associated with transformation and tumour progression. However, tumour-associated glycans are difficult to harness as therapeutic targets and, unlike proteins, they are also less immunogenic, meaning that the immune system generates weak responses against them.
The flexible, consistent, reproducible, and potent GlyMab platform has potentially overcome these limitations. The technology stems from Scancell’s in-house expertise and can be employed to produce many differentiated mAbs that bind selectively to the target tumour-associated glycans. Preclinical studies have shown GlyMabs can achieve high affinity for glycans that are markedly overexpressed on cancer cells.
The initial pipeline of five differentiated antibodies is generating encouraging preclinical data that directly led to Genmab licensing two programmes: SC129 sialyl-di-Lewisa and SC2811 that targets glycolipid stage-specific embryonic antigen 4 which could have clinical value in many solid tumours. Each separate deal carries up to $624m in aggregate milestones across three modalities plus low single digit royalties on net sales. Scancell has so far received an aggregate c $12m in upfront payments, with the next milestone expected to be triggered by the start of clinical trials.
A new company, GlyMab Therapeutics, was formed in 2025 enabling the separation of the vaccine and antibody platforms into independent corporate entities. This potentially offers two independent value creation pathways.
Following the close of the UK placing and retail offer we have updated our Scancell sum-of-the-parts valuation model to £408m ($530m), equivalent to 34p per share (29p fully diluted). However, this will need to be revised on completion of the NASDAQ listing (conditional on the Neuphoria acquisition closing) and linked fund raise (PIPE). Closure of the US financing transactions and drawdown of Tranche 1 of the Blackrock facility would add c $40m (c £30.7m) of net cash to the balance sheet (c $47m from the PIPE and Neuphoria net of $7m of debt). Exhibit 7 provides an overview of our valuation and underlying assumptions.
The key changes to our valuation assumptions include rolling forwards our valuation in time, adjusting the GBP:USD FX rate to 1.3 (from 1.25 previously), and reflecting the impact of the UK funding transactions by including the net proceeds in the current cash balance as well as updating the number of shares outstanding. Note that share count used is based on the current pre-consolidation number of shares and that initially, each ADS will represent 10 ordinary shares; however, subject to shareholder approval at the October EGM, a 10:1 share consolidation (1:1 ADS ratio) will become effective October 21. For context, our prior valuation was £399m ($499m), or 39p per share, with further detail in our June 2026 Update.
iSCIB1+, valued at £210m/$273m, remains the key value driver in our risk-adjusted net present value (rNPV) model, with the next step change on the first patient enrolment into the registrational Phase III trial. This would trigger an uplift from our current 30% success probability based on standard industry rNPV models whereby funded oncology assets with solid Phase II data have probabilities ranging from 50% to 65%. Assuming a conservative 50% probability of success for iSCIB1+, and all else being equal, this would translate into an iSCIB1+ valuation of £350m/$455m, and a £548m/$712m Scancell company valuation, equivalent to 45p per share.
However, the FDA grant of Fast Track Designation (FTD) adds an important element to our success probabilities, as does the reduction in financial uncertainty once the US transactions close in the coming months. For the company a FTD brings benefits such as fewer trial design flaws, rolling reviews (eg pre-vetting of CMC and preclinical modules), and faster approvals (ie a six-month process vs the ten-month standard). FTD is, in itself, not associated with higher probabilities of clinical success at Phase III, but it does improve regulatory approval probability. Consequently, applying a 65% probability, acknowledging the above and the strength of the SCOPE data, coupled with the targeting of suitable HLA patients, would result in an iSCIB1+ valuation of £455m/$592m and a whole company valuation of £653m/$848m, equivalent to 54p per share.
In addition to unwinding the iSCIB1+ risk-adjustment, other sources of potential valuation upside include higher uptake/peak sales and/or development in broader melanoma settings. Our $1.5bn iSCIB1+ peak sales forecast reflects solely the opportunity in advanced melanoma; it does not currently include any contribution for neoadjuvant/adjuvant melanoma or other indications as no specific clinical trials have been initiated. We note that Scancell’s management estimates a >$3bn potential for iSCIB1+ in advanced melanoma alone, hence greater clinical adoption and penetration than our, admittedly conservative assumptions, represents potential for upside to our model. Furthermore, looking beyond this pivotal trial in advanced melanoma patients, as mentioned, the market opportunity increases significantly if iSCIB1+ could be shown to work in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant settings. The next key inflection point is the start of the Phase II study, which is currently scheduled to start in H1 calendar 2027.
Completion of all the new funding transactions secured by Scancell and including the closing cash in Neuphoria would result in anticipated pro forma net cash (before transaction costs) of around $79.1m (c £59.2m), extending the cash runway into 2029, beyond key clinical milestones including, critically, the iSCIB1+ Phase III primary readout in H228. Following the close of the UK placing and retail offer, which raised gross proceeds of £15.7m, Scancell is funded into Q2 calendar 2027. These funds provide both near-term working capital and the resources to support preparation of the iSCIB1+ Phase III trial. The remaining US listing transactions (ie Neuphoria merger, US PIPE, and Blackrock debt facility) are inter-conditional and are expected to close in late Q4 calendar 2026/early Q127.
The precise details of new funding sources are as follows:
Scancell’s UK equity raise and US PIPE will increase the post-consolidation share count by c 17.45m, and additional new ordinary shares (or ADS equivalent) will also be issued in connection with the Neuphoria all share merger (c 20.4m) and the Redmile CLN conversion (c 19.2m). Post completion of all financing transactions, Scancell will have c 193.2m shares in issue.
Scancell has stated that proceeds will be directed towards funding further iSCIB1+ development (principally the registration-enabling Phase III in advanced melanoma, but also the Phase II study in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting), the ongoing Phase I/II ModiFY trial in RCC and HNSCC, and for working capital and general corporate purposes. With plans to secure the necessary funding now in place we have updated our FY27 forecasts, which previously reflected illustrative base spend, to incorporate revised cost assumptions.
We maintain a FY27e (year ending 30 April 2027) revenue expectation of c £2.3m in connection with an assumed $3m milestone on the anticipated start of clinical trials for SC129, the first GlyMab partnered with Genmab. However, we note that precise timing of milestone trigger is unpredictable, the quantum of the milestone is undisclosed, and that Genmab controls development progress for partnered GlyMab assets.
As the iSCIB1+ registration study is slated to start before end-calendar 2026 we have increased our FY27e (year ending 30 April 2027) R&D investment to £22.9m (£5m previously) to cover preparatory work and trial initiation, plus ongoing costs associated with the SCOPE and ModiFY studies. For G&A, we continue to forecast costs of £5.1m for FY27e but also include placeholder non-recurring exceptional expenses of £2.5m in relation to the funding transactions.
Updated financial forecasts (Exhibit 9) currently reflect a scenario whereby FY27e cash inflow does not include proceeds from funding transactions yet to close (US PIPE, Neuphoria merger, Blackrock debt facility drawdown). Thus, this illustrates a funding need at end-FY27e (end-April 2027) which will be addressed by the successful close of those transactions. This scenario also assumes that the outstanding CLNs will convert on their respective expiry dates in FY28e.
Last reported cash was £8.6m at end-October 2025. This was subsequently boosted by a £3m R&D tax credit receipt and c £15m net from the UK funding transactions, extending the cash runway into Q2 calendar 2027. Drawdown of the first tranche of the Blackrock facility would further prolong this runway through to mid-2027. The synchronised closing of the US PIPE and Neuphoria acquisition, bringing in a further $39.1m gross and minimum of $10m respectively, coupled with the second debt tranche will provide funding into 2029. This extends beyond key clinical milestones (Exhibit 8) including the iSCIB1+ Phase III primary readout in H228. Nearer-term news flow includes further Modi-1 data from the Phase II ModiFY trial, updates on the progress of iSCIB1+, start of the iSCIB1+ Phase II study in the neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting, plus mature PFS and OS data from the Phase II SCOPE study.
Disclaimer
Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.
ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.
In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.
Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.
This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.
Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.
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Trinity Delta view: Avacta is employing its pre|CISION technology to create a portfolio of PDCs (peptide drug conjugates) that improve the therapeutic index of highly potent yet systemically toxic oncology drugs. Recent clinical progress with AVA6103, the first of its next generation PDCs enabling sustained release of an exatecan payload, provides early human validation that the platform successfully replicates the promising results seen in preclinical models. Initial AVA6103 efficacy data in H127 should be a critical milestone for Avacta; confirmed targeted tumour localisation and a reduction in systemic toxicity in multiple solid tumour clinical settings should serve as the crucial validation step required to de-risk the wider pre|CISION platform. Robust human clinical data should also act as the natural catalysts to drive meaningful, well-validated commercial partnerships. AVA6207, the lead next-gen dual payload programme, is close to candidate selection and targeting an IND around end-2027 or early-2028. As usual, following this proposed fundraise we suspend our valuations and forecast. Our last published Avacta valuation was £525m or 111p/share (105p fully diluted).
Lighthouse
30 September 2026
| Price | 72.0p |
| Market Cap | 337.4m |
| Primary exchange | AIM |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company Code | AVCT |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
Avacta is a clinical stage biotech focused on the novel pre|CISION platform to generate peptide-drug conjugates to target delivery of toxic payloads into the tumour microenvironment, which has the potential to expand the reach and reduce the systemic toxicities of highly potent cancer therapeutics. Lead programme faridoxorubicin is in Phase Ib, AVA6103 is in Phase Ia, and multiple next generation candidates are in preclinical development.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Disclaimer
Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.
ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.
In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.
Any person who is not a relevant person under section of Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.
This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.
Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.
Avacta is a differentiated clinical-stage oncology specialist, increasingly defined by continuing progress with its second-generation pre|CISION tumour-activated Peptide Drug Conjugate (PDC) platform. The lead Gen Two programme, AVA6103 (FAP-EXd, a FAP-activated, controlled-release exatecan), has delivered initial Phase Ia safety and pharmacokinetic data from the FOCUS-01 trial. These data provide early human validation that the platform successfully replicates the targeted tissue localisation seen in preclinical models. They show a three-fold reduction in systemic payload exposure compared to market-leading antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) benchmarks and avoid the severe myelosuppression typically associated with free topoisomerase I inhibitors. Further clinical news flow over the next 12 months should establish the utility, positioning, and value of the pre|CISION platform. Our rNPV-based valuation is £525m/$671m, equivalent to 111p/share.
| Year-end: December 31 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E |
| Revenue (£m) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Adj. PBT (£m) | (24.2) | (26.0) | (27.0) | (28.0) |
| Net Income (£m) | (22.9) | (33.9) | (32.9) | (32.2) |
| Adj. EPS (p) | (52.8) | (38.6) | (33.4) | (32.7) |
| Cash (£m) | (15.3) | (9.7) | (7.3) | (6.8) |
| EBITDA (£m) | 17.8 | 16.9 | 24.5* | 14.5* |
Update
16 September 2026
| Price | 80.00p |
| Market Cap | £374.8m |
| Enterprise Value | £358.4m |
| Shares in issue | 471.3m |
| 12 month range | 48.0p-92.0p |
| Free float | 66.5% |
| Primary exchange | AIM London |
| Other exchanges | N/A |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company codes | AVCT.L |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
Avacta is a clinical stage biotech focused on the novel pre|CISION platform to generate peptide drug conjugates to target delivery of toxic payloads into the tumour microenvironment, which has the potential to expand the reach and reduce the systemic toxicities of highly potent cancer therapeutics. Two programmes, FAP-Dox (AVA6000) and FAP-Exd (AVA6103), are in clinical development.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Avacta is increasingly defined by the continuing progress with its second-generation pre|CISION tumour-activated Peptide Drug Conjugate (PDC) platform. The investment case centres on pre|CISION’s ability to reduce the efficacy/toxicity trade off seen with many potent oncology therapeutics, thus broadening their clinical utility. The platform employs a small-molecule masking chemistry designed to only specifically release the cytotoxic payloads in the tumour microenvironment (TME) through cleavage by Fibroblast Activation Protein (FAP), an enzyme highly expressed across c 90% of all solid tumours. AVA6103 (FAP-activated, controlled-release exatecan), the lead Gen Two programme, is in Phase Ia dose-escalation studies. Preliminary data corroborate the preclinical translational models, confirming targeted tumour localisation and reduced systemic toxicity compared to both conventional exatecan and AstraZeneca/Daiichi Sankyo’s market-leading antibody-drug conjugate (ADC), Enhertu. Our updated Avacta rNPV valuation, based on conservative assumptions, is £525m ($671m), equivalent to 111p/share (105p fully diluted).
Avacta is developing a portfolio of peptide-drug conjugates (PDCs) that use its pre|CISION technology to improve the therapeutic index of highly potent yet systemically toxic oncology drugs. Traditional chemotherapies and existing PDCs have historically been constrained by dose-limiting systemic toxicities, often caused by premature payload release in peripheral circulation. pre|CISION addresses this by using a specific peptide sequence – cleavable only by FAPα (fibroblast activation protein-α) – to deliver the payload precisely, preventing cell entry and exposure to healthy tissue until it undergoes enzymatic cleavage in the tumour microenvironment (TME). FAP expression is seen in c 90% of all solid tumours, where it is localised on Cancer-Associated Fibroblasts (CAFs) within the stroma and is virtually absent in healthy mature tissue.
Beyond the immediate commercial value of the individual pipeline assets (Exhibit 1), the true inflection point for our equity arc relies on proving the widespread utility, and potential scalability, of the pre|CISION platform. A successful clinical demonstration of the Gen Two capping group and linker stability in human plasma would clear the primary conceptual and biological hurdles for the entire technology. This would open up a much broader therapeutic landscape, allowing Avacta to address, for example, established, highly effective drugs that may have historically failed in development solely due to dose-limiting toxicities. By restricting active exposure strictly to the TME, the pre|CISION platform can optimise the therapeutic index of numerous payload classes, creating significant development opportunities across the wider oncology therapy space.
The clinical proof-of-concept for this masking mechanism was established with Avacta’s first-generation programme, faridoxorubicin (AVA6000, FAP-Dox), a doxorubicin payload. In clinical evaluations, AVA6000 demonstrated sufficient peripheral stability and reduction in cardiotoxicity for US regulatory authorities to lift the lifetime maximum dose cap mandated for doxorubicin in subsequent trials. It also delivered durable RECIST responses in salivary gland cancer, reported at ASCO 2026. These provide the initial human validation that the peptide conjugate remains intact in systemic circulation while releasing the active payload within FAP-positive tumour stroma (with a tumour to plasma concentration of 100:1).
AVA6103 (FAP-EXd) is the lead Gen Two pre|CISION-enabled PDC. It has an exatecan payload and is intended to address the known limitations of this potent topoisomerase I (Topo I) inhibitor, ie severe dose-limiting toxicities (neutropenia, thrombocytopenia) and short half-life, through modifying its PK profile. It also improves tolerability by reducing systemic exposure to released exatecan. The shift from Gen One (AVA6000) to Gen Two (AVA6103) adds an engineered capping group that is designed to bind in the FAP active site and a self-immolative linker that can be selected from different chemistries to tailor drug delivery from slow release to rapid cleavage. Many different classes of payload can be attached with Gen Two PDCs offering a great versatility in potential applications (Exhibit 2).
In AVA6103 the capping group increases binding affinity to anchor the intact molecule to stromal fibroblasts. This design clears the parent conjugate (exatecan is the released payload in this case) from plasma within four hours, resulting in a highly favourable tumour-to-plasma ratio, and basically converts the tumour mass into a localised payload reservoir, delivering therapeutic exatecan concentrations for more than five days. The result is extremely targeted delivery to the TME with sustained release of the now active payload directly into the tumour. The goal is for Avacta’s PDCs to achieve the robust efficacy of traditional ADCs but using small molecule chemistry, with added benefits such as improved specificities and/or toxicities, tailored kinetics, and a straightforward bystander effect that addresses both FAP+ve and FAP-ve tumour cells. Additionally, the small molecule science should allow easier, and cheaper, manufacturing.
The validity of this Gen Two architecture is being tested in the clinic. Initial data from the ongoing Phase I FOCUS-01 trial of AVA6103 provides the first human proof of these optimised kinetics, demonstrating that the structural modifications successfully replicate the targeted tissue localisation seen in preclinical models without triggering the severe systemic myelosuppression historically associated with Topo I inhibitors. FOCUS-01 is designed to generate robust data in six selected solid tumours: pancreatic ductal carcinoma (PDAC); gastric cancer (GC/GEC); colorectal cancer (CRC); cervical/vulvar cancers; small cell lung cancer (SCLC); and HR+ breast cancers. These indications have been specifically selected as part of the collaboration with Tempus AI to identify patients with the greatest likelihood of benefitting from targeted exatecan delivery to a FAP sensitive TME.
FOCUS-01 is expected to recruit c 140 patients across seven to nine specialist US centres. It consists of two elements: (1) the Phase Ia dose escalation portion (c 50 patients) with parallel arms dosing every three weeks (Q3W) and every two weeks (Q2W), these should determine MTD (maximum tolerated dose) and guide the RDE (recommended dose for expansion); and (2) the Phase Ib dose expansion which will consist of six cohorts of c 15 patients each, evaluating AVA6103 in these high prevalence cancers (Exhibit 3).
Phase Ia is currently underway, with the first two dose levels (DL1 1.5mg/m2 and DL2 3.0mg/m2, equivalent to 0.72mg/m² and 1.4mg/m² exatecan payload respectively) successfully completed and DL3 patients assigned. Already the early results are confirming preclinical data showing rapid uptake from the plasma and localisation at the tumour site, with sustained release of active exatecan and the products of the cleaved linkage. Phase Ib is planned to start in early-2027 and will assess indication-specific safety and provide early signs of efficacy, with overall response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), disease control rate (DCR), and duration of response (DoR) as the secondary endpoints.
As of the September 10, 2026 data cutoff, FOCUS-01 has enrolled and dosed 19 patients across the first three escalation cohorts of the Q3W schedule. The baseline demographics represent a heavily pretreated patient population with high tumour burden and advanced metastatic disease:
The initial human data from the first cohort offer promising early signs of how the PK of the modified platform is tracking as predicted in preclinical studies. The rapid decline of the intact parent drug in peripheral circulation is consistent with the expected tissue retention profile anticipated by the non-clinical models This clearance is accompanied by a low, sustained appearance of both free exatecan and the companion release peptide in plasma. While the patient numbers are small, this directional pattern indicates that the engineered modification to reduce the platform’s cleavage efficiency is functioning in line with the underlying design concept of containing the systemic payload exposure while ensuring tumour-localised drug activation (Exhibit 4).
Exhibit 5 summarises the FOCUS-01 safety data to date. Benchmarking against historical data for Topo I ADC Enhertu (trastuzumab deruxtecan) and exatecan is not straightforward due to the inherent variances in patient baselines and trial protocols. Nevertheless, these exploratory findings offer valuable directional insights into AVA6103’s comparative safety and potential therapeutic index.
Exatecan is an extremely potent Topo I inhibitor, but its clinical utility as a free small molecule was compromised by its narrow therapeutic index. In early clinical evaluations (Rowinsky) free intravenous exatecan was evaluated in heavily pretreated solid tumour patients matching those enrolled in FOCUS-01. The results established a strict safety ceiling. Even at modest doses for five days, the treatment caused near-universal, severe myelosuppression. Profound Grade 3/4 neutropenia and thrombocytopenia were the primary dose-limiting toxicities, aggravated by a short plasma half-life that required frequent and challenging dosing schedules. For fragile patients who had already sustained bone marrow damage from multiple lines of platinum-based chemotherapy, free exatecan was simply too toxic to tolerate at therapeutic levels.
Daiichi Sankyo, and AstraZeneca, employed an ADC design to combine deruxtecan, an exatecan derivative, with a HER-2 targeting monoclonal antibody to create the market-leading Enhertu (trastuzumab deruxtecan). Enhertu aims to shield healthy tissue from Topo I inhibitor-related systemic toxicity through tethering to a HER2-targeted monoclonal antibody. Despite the greater tumour targeting, plasma instability results in off-target exposure and haematological adverse events remain the most common Grade 3 or higher toxicities seen. Less common (c 10% to 15%), but clinically challenging, is the risk of interstitial lung disease (ILD), which is the cause of the FDA’s Black Box warning.
The off-target effects are compounded by how Enhertu attaches to the HER2 receptor through the slow process of cell-surface antigen binding and receptor-mediated internalisation. This typically creates a 24-hour lag before peak payload accumulation is achieved within the tumour mass, resulting in the Enhertu ADC circulating in plasma for longer. Avacta’s Gen Two approach attempts to address these specific ADC vulnerabilities by shifting the targeting mechanism from the tumour cell surface to the surrounding microenvironment. Since FAP cleavage happens in the TME, the delivery alters the kinetics in two distinct ways:
These early Phase Ia data provide initial human validation that AVA6103 successfully decouples payload potency from systemic toxicity. By reducing peripheral plasma exposure by three-fold compared to market-leading ADC benchmarks, AVA6103 has demonstrated a clean safety profile across the initial escalation cohorts, avoiding the severe myelosuppression that historically limited free exatecan. We caution that whilst these pharmacokinetic parameters are directionally encouraging, they remain exploratory. Nonetheless, it is reassuring that preclinical findings are being replicated in these early trial results.
In our view, the critical clinical transition for Avacta will occur in H127, when the Phase Ib expansion cohorts across the six Tempus-selected indications begin to deliver more robust RECIST efficacy data, shifting the equity arc for the Gen Two platform from clinical tolerability to therapeutic utility. Confirming targeted tumour localisation and a reduction in systemic toxicity in multiple solid tumour clinical settings should serve as the foundational validation step required to de-risk the wider pre|CISION platform. A successful proof-of-concept for AVA6103 would not just open up these sizeable clinical indications but should act as a template for other currently suboptimal compounds.
To provide context, we believe the shift from the Gen One chemistry typified by AVA6000 to the Gen Two PDC construct of AVA6103 is a larger and more significant event than from Gen Two to the clinically and commercially highly relevant dual payload constructs of Gen Three. AVA6000 successfully validated the FAP-cleavage mechanism using relatively straightforward chemistry with a doxorubicin backbone, whereas AVA6103 introduces a highly potent and toxic exatecan payload within the targeted and controlled-release conjugate structure. This requires exacting systemic stability in human plasma to prevent off-target toxicities, hence the importance of the Phase Ia PK data and the upcoming Phase Ib results as the defining validation events for the pre|CISION platform.
Once the architecture of the Gen Two construct is validated then the step to the Gen Three dual constructs is, in our view, one of chemical engineering optimisation rather than the conceptual leap between Gen One and Gen Two. If the Gen Two linker and capping groups safely navigate the human circulation and release the payload exclusively in the TME then the fundamental biological hurdle is cleared and, as a result, the multi-payload variations are de-risked materially.
Assuming the baseline operational runway will be funded to cover these crucial clinical readouts, we view the maturation of these clinical datasets as the key driver for long-term corporate development. Rather than pursuing premature, low-value arrangements, management continues to maintain active dialogue with multiple global pharmaceutical companies. The emergence of robust human clinical data from AVA6103 (Gen Two) should act as the natural catalysts to evolve these exploratory discussions into meaningful, well-validated commercial partnerships that will likely address Gen Two and Gen Three constructs.
Nonetheless, whilst we view continuing corroborating AVA6103 data as the defining events for the roles, and value, of the pre|CISION platform, other key near-term events include:
The coming 12 months, arguably six months, should define the clinical utility of the pre|CISION platform. The AVA6103 Phase Ia data, which we emphasise is still early, does provide directional insights that suggest the preclinical promise may be replicated in the clinic. In our view, it will be the Phase Ib results that should signal whether it can deliver the robust cell-kill of a potent ADC while minimising systemic exposure and employing far simpler, small-molecule manufacturing.
We value Avacta using a sum-of-the-parts rNPV model for the disclosed pipeline assets, combined with an indicative placeholder value for the underlying pre|CISION platform chemistries. The individual asset rNPVs are summed and netted against unallocated corporate operating costs and net cash positions. Proof of mechanism data prompts us to revisit assumptions for our pre|CISION platform valuation given potential for pipeline expansion.
Our valuation is now £525m ($671m), equivalent to 111p per share (105p fully diluted for the future share issuance required to settle the outstanding convertible bond liability), vs £475.0m ($608.0m), or 101p per share (94p fully diluted) previously). We deliberately employ conservative assumptions throughout; our discount factor is 12.5% and the £/$ FX rate is 1.28.
AVA6000 (faridoxorubicin, FAP-Dox): Valued at an rNPV of £76.7m ($98.1m), or 16.3p per share. This incorporates a blended probability of success (PoS) comprising an orphan opportunity at 60% and a larger commercial partnering opportunity at 20%, assuming an 18% royalty tier, peak global sales of $1.5bn, and a projected launch timeline from 2029 onwards.
AVA6103 (FAP-EXd): Valued at an rNPV of £129.8m ($166.2m), or 27.5p per share. Reflecting its current early clinical status, we continued to apply a standard Phase I PoS of 15%. Assumptions include a 20% tier-one royalty structure, a projected market launch from 2031 onwards, and peak global sales of $2.5bn across the broad solid-tumour indications currently under evaluation.
AVA6207 (Gen Three Dual-Payload): Valued at an rNPV of £67.5m ($86.3m), or 14.3p per share, applying a preclinical/IND-enabling PoS of 7.5%. Assumptions include a 20% royalty tier, commercial launch from 2033 onwards, and unadjusted peak sales of $3.5bn, recognizing its potential to mitigate common tumour resistance mechanisms.
pre|CISION Platform: Proof of mechanism data for the new linker and capping group chemistries employed in AVA6103 prompts us to revisit our underlying platform assumptions given the potential for pipeline expansion with multiple payloads. The indicative platform value rises to £240m ($307m), or 50.8p per share, vs £190.0m ($243.2m), or 40.3p per share, previously applying a blended pipeline modifier across unallocated future candidates targeting the wider 90% of FAP-expressing solid tumours.
Our July 2026 Update reviewed Avacta’s FY25 results and June 2026 fundraise. The latter was a strategic equity placement that raised £8.5m net specifically to settle three upcoming quarterly convertible bond (CB) repayments (ie the January 2026 and April 2026 payments that were deferred to October 2027, and the scheduled July 2026 quarterly payment). These three payments have now been satisfied, and the outstanding CB principal is £12m. Our model assumes the CB and associated coupons will be fully extinguished by October 2027 through issuing shares (either directly or indirectly).
Financial forecasts are presented in Exhibit 8. We expect increasing R&D investment as clinical progress is maintained, and larger trials are initiated and progressed for Gen Two and Three assets. Our forecast includes R&D spend of £17.7m in FY26e and reaching £18.6m in FY27e as AVA6103 Phase Ib expansion cohorts initiate. SG&A expenses are projected to grow incrementally from £9.3m in FY26e to £9.5m in FY27e.
Last reported net cash was £16.4m at end-April 2026, providing an operational runway extending into early Q127. To bridge the funding requirement ahead of key data milestones, our model shows an illustrative £25m cash inflow in each of FY26e and FY27e (treated as short-term debt). However, this funding shortfall is likely to be addressed via a combination of licensing proceeds, non-dilutive collaborations, traditional equity raises, or a targeted dual NASDAQ listing.
Disclaimer
Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.
ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.
In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.
Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.
This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.
Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.
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Trinity Delta view: The first ATTC deal, with a major pharma player such as GSK (Glaxo SmithKline), provides clear external validation of the ATTC platform’s clinical and commercial attractions, and accelerates the global development of HMPL-A830. The terms of the agreement form a valuable benchmark for similar future out-licensing. We maintain our view that HUTCHMED is a unique opportunity in biopharma, with a broad pipeline of differentiated oncology/immunology assets, global ambitions supported by large pharma partners, proven commercial execution in China yielding a growing top line, all balanced with shrewd investment. Our most recent HUTCHMED valuation was $5.80bn/£4.54bn/ HK$45.27bn, or $33.27/ADS and 520p/HK$51.90 per share.
Lighthouse
4 September 2026
| Price (US ADS) (UK share) (SEHK share) | $14.11 209.0p HK$21.88 |
| Market Cap   | $2.45bn £1.82bn HK$19.01bn |
| Exchanges | NASDAQ AIM London SEHK |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company Codes | HCM HCM.L 0013.HK |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
HUTCHMED is a Hong Kong headquartered biopharma focused on discovering, developing and commercialising innovative targeted therapeutics and immunotherapies to treat cancer and immunological diseases for the China and global markets.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Disclaimer
Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.
ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.
In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.
Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.
This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.
Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.
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Trinity Delta view: Oxford BioDynamic’s £9m raise alleviates the overhang caused by the known funding constraints and provides breathing space to allow management to pursue key strategic goals. The priorities are: commercial execution, converting the strong science into revenue-generating operations; disciplined resource allocation, capital is directed to programmes with the highest near-term value; greater customer adoption, as real-world utility demonstrates worth; and strategic partnerships, as deals are the only way to achieve a global reach. The EpiSwitch Orion cloud-based 3D genomics platform remains a primary focus and, together with growing EpiSwitch test volumes, should create shareholder value. Longer-term, in our view, sustainable volume growth will require substantial ongoing commercial investment. Hence, the importance of striking attractive deals with third-party partners should not be underestimated.
Lighthouse
27 August 2026
| Price | 0.12p |
| Market Cap | £5.15m |
| Primary exchange | AIM |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company Code | OBD |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
Oxford BioDynamics (OBD) develops 3D genomic diagnostics using its proprietary EpiSwitch technology platform. Aiming to improve precision and clinical utility, the target applications are in oncology, autoimmune diseases, and neuro-degenerative disorders. Two tests, EpiSwitch CiRT (immuno-oncology response) and EpiSwitch PSE (prostate cancer) are being rolled out commercially.
Analysts
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Disclaimer
Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.
ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.
In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.
Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.
This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.
Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.
Trinity Delta view: Positive SAFFRON efficacy data pave the way for partner AstraZeneca to submit first global regulatory filings for the savolitinib/Tagrisso combination and address a common resistance mechanism in EGFRm NSCLC. This well-tolerated, all-oral combination, coupled with a commercial biomarker strategy, could offer a differentiated treatment option for 2L advanced or metastatic EGFRm MET-amplified NSCLC. Potential ex-China regulatory approval(s) from 2027/8 would make savolitinib HUTCHMED’s second global product after Fruzqla (partnered with Takeda), supporting medium-term growth prospects. For FY26, HUTCHMED has guided to Oncology/Immunology revenues of $330m-$450m. Our last published HUTCHMED valuation was $5.80bn/£4.54bn/ HK$45.27bn, or $33.27/ADS and 520p/HK$51.90 per share.
Lighthouse
18 August 2026
| Price (US ADS) (UK share) (SEHK share) | $12.56 190.0p HK$20.08 |
| Market Cap   | $2.18bn £1.65bn HK$17.45bn |
| Exchanges | NASDAQ AIM London SEHK |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company Codes | HCM HCM.L 0013.HK |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
HUTCHMED is a Hong Kong headquartered biopharma focused on discovering, developing and commercialising innovative targeted therapeutics and immunotherapies to treat cancer and immunological diseases for the China and global markets.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Disclaimer
Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.
ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.
In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.
Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.
This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.
Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.
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Trinity Delta view: The positive 2026 outlook with Oncology/Immunology revenue guidance of $330m-$450m is supported by the recovery in China growth momentum, ongoing geographic expansion of Fruzaqla ex-US, and potential partnering opportunities. Continued commercial and R&D execution is key to ensuring sustainable profitability. Medium-term growth prospects should be boosted by potential approval of second global product, savolitinib, assuming positive pivotal data read outs in H226, and M&A and/or in-licensing. Business development, particularly with respect to the ATTC platform, would drive longer-term growth. Large pharma interest in ATTCs, if converted into deal(s) would give external validation and expedite development in a broad range of solid tumours with sizeable market potential. Our most recent HUTCHMED valuation was $5.80bn/£4.54bn/ HK$45.27bn, or $33.27/ADS and 520p/HK$51.90 per share.
Lighthouse
31 July 2026
| Price (US ADS) (UK share) (SEHK share) | $10.77 167.5p HK$17.71 |
| Market Cap   | $1.87bn £1.47bn HK$15.39bn |
| Exchanges | NASDAQ AIM London SEHK |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company Codes | HCM HCM.L 0013.HK |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
HUTCHMED is a Hong Kong headquartered biopharma focused on discovering, developing and commercialising innovative targeted therapeutics and immunotherapies to treat cancer and immunological diseases for the China and global markets.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Disclaimer
Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.
ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.
In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.
Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.
This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.
Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.
Trinity Delta view: We have argued that the strength of SCOPE data and costs of the proposed iSCIB1+ registration trial are such that in-house development should remain a primary consideration. Our June 2026 Update highlighted how securing funding to initiate the iSCIB1+ Phase III study would de-risk Scancell’s investment case and result in c £120m/$150m uplift in our rNPV valuation. Ahead of further confirmatory announcements connected with this transaction, we suspend our valuation and forecasts. For context, our last published Scancell valuation was £399m ($499m), or 38p per share (32p fully diluted).
Lighthouse
23 July 2026
| Price | 12.75p |
| Market Cap | £132.2m |
| Primary exchange | AIM London |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company Code | SCLP |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
Scancell is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology specialist. The key value drivers are iSCIB1+, the lead ImmunoBody programme, and Modi-1, the lead Moditope programme. The novel GlyMab glycan antibodies are earlier in development.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Disclaimer
Trinity Delta Research Limited (“TDRL”; firm reference number: 725161), which trades as Trinity Delta, is an appointed representative of Equity Development Limited (“ED”). The contents of this report, which has been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of TDRL, have been reviewed, but not independently verified, by ED which is authorised and regulated by the FCA, and whose reference number is 185325.
ED is acting for TDRL and not for any other person and will not be responsible for providing the protections provided to clients of TDRL nor for advising any other person in connection with the contents of this report and, except to the extent required by applicable law, including the rules of the FCA, owes no duty of care to any other such person. No reliance may be placed on ED for advice or recommendations with respect to the contents of this report and, to the extent it may do so under applicable law, ED makes no representation or warranty to the persons reading this report with regards to the information contained in it.
In the preparation of this report TDRL has used publicly available sources and taken reasonable efforts to ensure that the facts stated herein are clear, fair and not misleading, but make no guarantee or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, nor to provide updates should fresh information become available or opinions change.
Any person who is not a relevant person under Section 21(2) of the Financial Services & Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Research on its client companies produced by TDRL is normally commissioned and paid for by those companies themselves (‘issuer financed research’) and as such is not deemed to be independent, as defined by the FCA, but is ‘objective’ in that the authors are stating their own opinions. The report should be considered a marketing communication for purposes of the FCA rules. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. TDRL does not hold any positions in any of the companies mentioned in the report, although directors, employees or consultants of TDRL may hold positions in the companies mentioned. TDRL does impose restrictions on personal dealings. TDRL might also provide services to companies mentioned or solicit business from them.
This report is being provided to relevant persons to provide background information about the subject matter of the note. This document does not constitute, nor form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer for sale or purchase of (or solicitation of, or invitation to make any offer to buy or sell) any Securities (which may rise and fall in value). Nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information that we provide is not intended to be, and should not in any manner whatsoever be, construed as personalised advice. Self-certification by investors can be completed free of charge at www.fisma.org. TDRL, its affiliates, officers, directors and employees, and ED will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any use of this document, to the maximum extent that the law permits.
Copyright 2026 Trinity Delta Research Limited. All rights reserved.
Avacta’s investment case centres on how its pre|CISION-enabled PDC (peptide-drug conjugate) platform can widen the therapeutic window of potent oncology drugs, improve efficacy, and reduce toxicities. Faridoxorubicin (FAP-Dox), a Gen One compound, has proven the concept, but the real value, in our view, lies in the Gen Two and Gen Three opportunities. AVA6103 (FAP-EXd), the lead Gen Two programme, has started Phase I studies with the first clinical data by end-2026. FAP-EXd is a sustained release PDC of proven Topo I inhibitor, exatecan, whose utility is hampered by its toxicity. Successful proof-of-concept for FAP-EXd would open up sizeable clinical indications and act as a template for other currently suboptimal compounds. The lead Gen Three (dual payload) programme is progressing well through preclinical studies: the identity of the two components set to be revealed by end-2026. The news flow over the next 12 months should establish the utility, positioning, and value of the pre|CISION platform. Our valuation is £475m/$608m, or 101p/share.
| Year-end: December 31 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E |
| Revenue (£m) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Adj. PBT (£m) | (24.2) | (26.0) | (27.0) | (28.0) |
| Net Income (£m) | (22.9) | (33.9) | (32.9) | (32.2) |
| Adj. EPS (p) | (52.8) | (38.6) | (33.4) | (32.7) |
| Cash (£m) | (15.3) | (9.7) | (7.3) | (6.8) |
| EBITDA (£m) | 17.8 | 16.9 | 24.5* | 14.5* |
Update
7 July 2026
| Price | 73.00p |
| Market Cap | £342.0m |
| Enterprise Value | £325.6m |
| Shares in issue | 471.3m |
| 12 month range | 30.0p-92.0p |
| Free float | 66.5% |
| Primary exchange | AIM London |
| Other exchanges | N/A |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Company codes | AVCT.L |
| Corporate client | Yes |
Company description
Avacta is a clinical stage biotech focused on the novel pre|CISION platform to generate peptide drug conjugates to target delivery of toxic payloads into the tumour microenvironment, which has the potential to expand the reach and reduce the systemic toxicities of highly potent cancer therapeutics. Two programmes, FAP-Dox (AVA6000) and FAP-Exd (AVA6103), are in clinical development.
Analysts
Lala Gregorek
lgregorek@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5043
Franc Gregori
fgregori@trinitydelta.org
+44 (0) 20 3637 5041
Avacta’s investment case centres on its proprietary pre|CISION drug delivery platform, which aims to reduce the efficacy/toxicity trade off seen with many potent therapeutics, thus expanding their utility. pre|CISION is being harnessed to develop novel, highly targeted cancer drugs, and has been validated by lead programme AVA6000 (faridoxorubicin or FAP-Dox), a peptide-drug conjugate of doxorubicin. The next-generation AVA6103 (FAP-EXd), a tailored sustained release exatecan formulation, is in Phase I studies. A dual payload candidate will be selected for study before end-2026. Clinical and pipeline catalysts should provide multiple value inflection points over the next 12-18 months. Increasing industry awareness, coupled with growing investor confidence, has reduced the funding uncertainty that continues to plague many similarly sized biotech players. Our Avacta rNPV valuation, based on conservative assumptions, is £475m ($608m), equivalent to 101p/share (94p fully diluted).
Avacta is a pure play oncology biopharma company with management focused on exploiting the full potential of its proprietary pipeline and pre|CISION platform. It aims to develop a broad portfolio of peptide-drug conjugates (PDCs) that use its pre|CISION technology to improve the therapeutic index of many highly potent yet systemically toxic oncology drugs. The platform allows these compounds to remain inert until they are specifically activated by FAP-cleavage in the tumour microenvironment (TME). FAPα (fibroblast activation protein-α) is a tumour-associated enzyme expressed by cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs). This precise activation minimises systemic exposure and allows optimisation of dosing (higher or more frequent dosing) and/or broadens the therapeutic window for these otherwise highly potent and effective drugs.
The pre|CISION platform, described in detail in our November 2024 Outlook, has seen material enhancement in recent years as its potential has become better understood. It is very flexible and can be used to create highly tailored therapeutic conjugates that have specific characteristics. Briefly, FAP is primarily expressed as a membrane bound enzyme of CAFs in the TME, with only a small amount of FAP needed to cleave the linker and release the active payload either directly into the tumour cell or within the TME (the bystander effect). Around 90% of solid tumours express FAP and would be candidates for pre|CISION targeting (Exhibit 2). A collaboration with Tempus AI, employing its extensive real-world datasets, has helped identify the addressable patient populations and refine the selection of the most clinically promising and commercially relevant indications.
The pipeline (Exhibit 3) includes the lead programme faridoxorubicin (AVA6000, FAP-Dox) a doxorubicin PDC; AVA6103 (FAP-EXd), a Phase I sustained release PDC targeting topoisomerase I (Topo I) via an exatecan payload; and AVA6207, the first dual payload PDC, a novel class of engineered biotherapeutics.
Faridoxorubicin (FAP-Dox) is a relatively straightforward compound and can be viewed as a Gen One pre|CISION chemistry. FAP-Dox has played a pivotal role in that it has not only provided a better understanding of FAP biology but also effectively demonstrated the proof of concept for the pre|CISION technology. The clinical data so far (January 2026 Outlook) have shown targeted doxorubicin release in the TME (tumour to plasma concentration of 100:1), improved safety and tolerability vs standard doxorubicin with no dose-limiting toxicities nor cardiac safety signals (0% vs 6%-20% expected), and preliminary signs of efficacy in high grade soft tissue sarcomas (STS) and salivary gland cancer (SGC).
The SGC indication is attractive because of the strength of preliminary efficacy data released to date, most recently at ASCO 2026 (Exhibit 4). Data from the 38 evaluable SGC patients treated in the Phase Ia dose finding and Phase Ib dose expansion cohorts were consistent and showed durable tumour shrinkage, with over 90% disease control rate. Median progression free survival (PFS) data are not yet mature and progression events (eg tumour growth) continue to be collected. For context, median PFS was 3.5 months on conventional chemotherapy. SGC also offers more straightforward clinical development pathway as SGC is a chemo-refractory indication with no defined current treatment regimen.
FDA has agreed to key elements of the design of a single pivotal trial to support potential full regulatory approval in SGC, with a primary endpoint of PFS (Exhibit 5). This study will include both first line and second line patients in the most prevalent subsets of SGC (excluding rarer subtypes) and will evaluate a 310mg/m2 faridoxrubicin dose (equivalent to 209mg/m2 conventional doxorubicin) in 240 patients. Notably, Phase I data in the defined SGC patient group for the pivotal study (n=32) reveal that confirmed tumour responses have largely occurred in this group, with four partial responses and eight minor responses. FDA agreement on the regulatory pathway in SGC could see a first market launch of faridoxorubicin in 1L/2L mSGC in 2029/30 and should also aid ongoing faridoxorubicin partnering discussions; the start of the pivotal trial remains subject to partnering.
Additionally, ASCO data confirmed a continued clean safety profile across 111 patients dosed with AVA6000, including several patients that reached the protocol-defined lifetime maximum doxorubicin exposure of 550 mg/m2. Across the pooled Phase Ia/Ib safety data, there was an absence of severe cardiac toxicity and only minimal changes in left ventricular function (LVEF) (seen in <4% of patients). At the recommended dose for expansion (RDE) of 310mg/m2 (n=48) incidence of toxicities were lower than historical rates observed with conventional doxorubicin, despite the RDE being equivalent to c 2.8x the maximum tolerated dose of conventional doxorubicin (75 mg/m2).
PK and exposure-response data that lead to the lifting of the lifetime maximum doxorubicin limit were also presented. Population PK modelling showed that the FAP-mediated release of active doxorubicin from faridoxorubicin results in limited systemic exposure, with higher clearance and larger central volume for distribution, vs conventional doxorubicin which is rapidly systemically distributed and eliminated more slowly (Exhibit 6). While the exposure-response analysis found no meaningful relationship between cardiac toxicity, specifically LVEF changes, and released doxorubicin exposure.
These data, as well as first data in triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) once this has matured, should strengthen the partnership/licensing package. TNBC is the more significant commercial opportunity given both the unmet need (representing c 15-20% of new breast cancer diagnoses, but 35% of deaths) and widespread use of doxorubicin chemotherapy (particularly in the PD-L1 negative cohort), however it will require larger, and longer, trials. Assuming positive TNBC data and also subject to funding/partnership, a parallel pathway involving c 150 patients in a Phase II study and a further c 750 patients in a pivotal Phase III trial could result in a first 2L mTNBC market approval as early as 2031/32.
In addition to these encouraging efficacy and safety data, translational analyses from the faridoxorubicin Phase Ia/Ib study were recently presented at the BIO International Convention 2026. These analyses confirm two key attributes of the pre|CISION platform: (1) pre|CISION-enabled PDCs are active even when FAP expression is very low; and (2) FAP expression in the TME persists despite tumour response to the PDC. These findings are supported by the underlying principle that FAP is an extracellular enzyme and thus, unlike ADCs, pre|CISION PDCs do not need to be internalised by tumour cells for cleavage to occur.
A proportion of SGC patients were biopsied (n=26) and assessed with standard FAP immunohistochemistry (IHC) and tricolour immunofluorescence studies; two separate statistical analyses indicated no correlation between the FAP expression level and the degree of efficacy (ie tumour response). These analyses, coupled to case series in four SGC patients, indicate robust activity including at very low levels of FAP expression. A smaller cohort of SGC patients had serial FAPI-PET scans to assess changes in FAP expression over time. Preliminary results, from initial imaging data pre- and post-treatment in two patients that had tumour responses to faridoxorubicin, indicate that despite tumour shrinkage expression of FAP is not reduced. Further analysis from the FAPI-PET sub-study is due in Q326.
Confirmation that pre|CISION technology is applicable to and active in very low FAP settings opens a wider opportunity for the platform (including with other payloads) extending into the 90% of solid tumours that express varying levels of FAP. It also means that a biomarker-based companion diagnostic is unnecessary, ultimately reducing cost to payors, and that earlier approaches to optimising pre|CISION targeting in low-FAP tumour types (ie the AVA7100 Affimer-drug conjugate) are redundant and thus have been discontinued allowing resources to be better deployed in developing the Gen Two and Gen Three programmes.
AVA6103 (FAP-EXd) is the lead second-generation (Gen Two) pre|CISION-enabled PDC. It has an exatecan payload and is intended to address the known limitations of this potent topoisomerase I (Topo I) inhibitor, ie severe dose-limiting toxicities (neutropenia, thrombocytopenia) and short half-life, through modifying its PK profile; and also improving tolerability by reducing systemic exposure to released exatecan. Here the pre|CISION molecule (Exhibit 7) consists of a capping group that is designed to hold the PDC in the FAP active site on the CAFs and a self-immolative linker that modulates the rate of cleavage, finely controling the release of active exatecan in the TME. The result is highly targeted delivery to the TME with sustained release of the now active payload directly into the tumour.
In April 2026 the first patient in the FOCUS-1 Phase I clinical study was treated with FAP-EXd. FOCUS is designed to generate robust data in six selected solid tumours: pancreatic ductal carcinoma (PDAC); gastric cancer (GC/GEC); colorectal cancer (CRC); cervical/vulvar cancers; small cell lung cancer (SCLC); and HR+ breast cancers. These indications have been specifically selected as part of the collaboration with Tempus AI to identify patients with the greatest likelihood of benefitting from the targeted delivery of a Topo I inhibitor to a FAP sensitive TME. This was determined through querying large real-world datasets to identify FAP-positive cancers with co-expression of SLNF11, a predictor for sensitivity and hence optimal responses to Topo I inhibition.
The FOCUS (FAP-Exd in Oncologic Cancers with Unmet needS) study is expected to recruit c 140 patients across seven to nine specialist US centres (Exhibit 8). Initial results from the Phase Ia dose escalation element (c 50 patients) are expected at end-2026, which should determine the recommended dose for expansion (RDE) and provide the first clinical proof of concept for AVA6103. We view these data as being central to any prospective partnering discussions. The Phase Ib expansion cohorts (c 90 patients), planned to start in early-2027, will assess indication-specific safety and provide early signs of efficacy (with overall response rate, progression-free survival, overall survival, disease control rate, and duration of response as the secondary endpoints).
Impressive preclinical in vitro and in vivo data have been presented at the American Association of Cancer Research (AACR) meetings in 2025 and 2026. These have confirmed several important features of AVA6103:
Another preclinical exercise was an innovative AI-driven analysis to assess differences in payload delivery between the pre|CISION PDC platform and a market leading cleavable linker antibody drug conjugate (ADC). The aim was to assess published preclinical data for AstraZeneca/Daiichi Sankyo’s Enhertu (trastuzumab deruxtecan, T-Dxd) against preclinical data for AVA6103 in as comparable a way as possible. Enhertu, a class leading tumour-agnostic HER2-directed ADC used mainly for breast cancer, is based on an exatecan derivative and uses a cathepsin-cleavable linker, while AVA6103 couples sustained release chemistry with the targeted release FAP-cleavable linker. This comparative analysis showed that FAP-EXd had:
Similar preclinical work also showed positive comparisons against Datroway (datopotamab deruxtecan-dlnk, TROP2-Dxd), also AstraZeneca/Daiichi Sankyo. Based on a similar ADC structure, whereas Enhertu targets HER2 (Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2) like Herceptin’s trastuzumab, Datroway targets TROP2 (Trophoblast Cell-Surface Antigen 2). TROP2 is heavily overexpressed in many solid tumours, including TNBC, urothelial carcinoma, NSCLC, and various digestive neoplasms. The studies again showed a faster delivery and drug release to the tumours, with a better tumour to plasma concentration and longer period within the therapeutic range.
These preclinical findings quantify the improved selectivity and exposure profile possible with payload delivery by a pre|CISION PDC vs established, commercially successful ADCs. Our January 2026 Outlook details the expected benefits of a pre|CISION PDC over ADCs. In summary, as outlined in Exhibit 10, PDC payload release is highly tumour specific, resulting in much reduced toxicities; their size conveys small molecule levels of tumour penetration, coupled with extracellular payload release; FAP is expressed by 90% of all solid tumours, with the strong bystander effect resulting in efficacy in even low FAP environments; and manufacture is relatively straightforward and inexpensive. This latter point should also mean that small molecule manufacturing of PDCs, and a less complex supply chain, translates into potential health economics benefits over ADCs. We highlight that the manufacture of the monoclonal antibody component the most expensive and time-consuming part of the ADC process, noting Daichi Sankyo’s FY25 $610m impairment charge connected to securing ADC manufacturing capacity.
AVA6207 will be the first dual payload PDC programme, exploiting new linker chemistry to allow a single PDC molecule to deliver two diverse and/or complementary therapeutic payloads simultaneously to the TME. These payloads are attached to a self-immolative linker that can be tuned to release both, following a single FAP cleavage event, in a finely controlled manner. The kinetics of payload release can be adjusted, providing great flexibility and allowing optimisation of the therapeutic profiles of numerous different payload combinations (Exhibit 11). The clinical appeal is in the blocking of tumour resistance mechanisms that typically arise against single-agent therapies and/or maximising the therapeutic effect through the delivery of two payloads that attack the same tumour cells through different mechanisms.
Preclinical studies have examined the Topo I inhibitor (Topo1i) exatecan and DDR (DNA Damage Response) inhibitors as the dual payloads in a number of in vivo and in vitro cancer models. DDR is a complex cellular network that identifies and repairs genetic damage and ATR (Ataxia-telangiectasia and Rad3-related) is a master kinase protein that sits at the very heart of this. The inhibition of these DDR pathways is seen as a promising anti-tumour strategy, with therapies that combine a direct acting therapeutic with DDR inhibition to avoid resistance (DDR is a key resistance mechanism to Topo I inhibition), that could result in improved clinical outcomes. The studies have examined a FAP-Topo1i/ATRi dual payload compound and have shown greater potency than FAP-Topo1i alone (Exhibit 12). Early preclinical data was presented in a poster at AACR-NCI-EORTC Molecular Targets and Cancer Therapeutics 2025.
The levels of dual payload compound release were assessed in the tumour and in plasma and showed high intratumoral concentration of the individual Topo1i and ATRi actives and a low plasma concentration for both. The TSI (Tumour Selectivity Index), a measure of preferential tumour concentration of the payload, showed high selectivity with TSI for Topo1i ranging from 64 to 320 and for ATRi ranging from 325 to 527. In terms of efficacy, both Topo I and ATR levels showed the predicted target engagement was achieved, and durable complete responses were seen (Exhibit 13).
Similar synergistic improvement in potency could be achieved by combining two distinct anti-cancer mechanisms with established clinical activity. For example, a combination of a microtubule inhibition (MMAE, Monomethyl Auristatin E) and Topo I inhibition (exatecan) has been shown to provide greater and longer lasting anti-tumour activity. These potent Gen Three compounds should retain the favourable toxicity profiles of the Gen Two compounds as payload release is dependent on the presence of FAP-positive CAFs.
The optimisation work is underway, with the first candidate of the Gen Three portfolio expected to be selected late in H226.
We value Avacta using a sum-of-the-parts model, comprising risk-adjusted NPVs (net present value) for the disclosed pipeline assets, and an indicative placeholder valuation for the pre|CISION platform. More details on the rationale for each are available in our January 2026 Outlook. The rNPVs are summed and then netted against unallocated operating costs and net cash (excluding the convertible bond, CB, which we assume will be settled through issuing shares). Our valuation has been updated post FY25 results, rolled forwards in time, and reflects latest management project timeline expectations. We include the June raise in our financial model but given that these funds are earmarked for settling three CB repayments there is a net neutral valuation impact. These changes lift our valuation to £475m (from £471m), equivalent to 101p per share based on the most recent share count (or 94p/share fully diluted for future shares to settle the CB); the key assumptions underpinning our valuation are shown in Exhibit 14.
Avacta is now a pure therapeutics business, however reported FY25 revenues of £6.3m (FY24: £24.4m) consist of continuing operations of £0.1m (FY24: £0.1m) and discontinued operations of £6.2m (FY24: £24.3m). On a continuing operations basis, R&D expenses were £18.8m (FY24: £14.3m), largely due to the ongoing spend on both AVA6000 and AVA6103. SG&A expenses decreased to £10.0m (FY24: £12.0m) as FY24 included £2.0m in exceptional items (£1.1m for termination payments and settlement agreements; £0.7m legal and professional fees; and £0.2m related to the winding down of the Diagnostics division). FY25 Operating loss was £30.7m (FY24: £32.6m). Accounting for the non-cash items relating to the convertible bond (see below), the FY25 Net Loss from continuing operations was £37.1m (FY24: £29.4m), with discontinued operations being £1.3m (FY24: £23.4m). The two non-core diagnostics businesses, Coris Bioconcept SRL and Launch Diagnostics Holdings, were sold for £2.2 million in September 2025 and for £12.9 million in March 2025 respectively.
In August 2025 the £55m senior, unsecured Convertible Bonds (CB) issued in October 2022 were amended (September 2025 Lighthouse). The difference between the carrying amount of the original debt liability and the fair value of the new debt liability resulted in a gain on derecognition of financial liabilities of £2.0m, which has been recognised in the P&L. The December 2025 debt liability was £13.4m (FY24: £20.5m), with a carrying amount of the derivative liability of £2.8m (FY24: £1.3m). Interest expense was £7.0m (FY24: £9.9m) with a loss of £1.5m (FY24: gain of £13.7m) on the derivative liability. The debt element of the CB was £13.4m (FY24: £20.5m), with a derivative liability of £2.8m (FY24: £1.3m). The principal outstanding was £20.4m at end-2026, with this falling to £19.2m following the conversion of £1.2m of CBs in May 2026.
End-December 2025 cash was £16.9m (end-December 2024: £12.9m); operating cash outflows were £22.6m, £9.9m was received from the Launch Diagnostics and Coris Bioconcept divestments, and net financing activities were an inflow of £16.6m (of which shares issued of £22.5m was offset by CB repayment of £5.1m). In March 2026 an over-subscribed equity issue raised £10m, resulting in the net cash position rising to £16.4m. The cash runway currently extends to Q127.
The recent £9m gross (c £8.5m net) equity raise (June 2026 Lighthouse) will be directed solely towards settling three upcoming CB repayments in cash, specifically the January 2026 and April 2026 payments that were deferred to October 2027 as well as one additional quarterly payment. This strategic raise enabled Avacta to secure equity funding at a more favourable price (70p per share vs the lower reference prices of c 48.75p and c 64.65p for the January and April quarters respectively) and resulting in less dilution than settling these two quarterly repayments in new shares.
As a reminder the amended terms of the CB allow the bond holders to accelerate the repayment of one or both deferred payments, in either cash or shares, from the earliest of: 30 June 2026, or the data readout of the faridoxorubicin Phase Ib study in TNBC. Additionally, from October 2026 bondholders could accelerate a quarterly repayment subject to a maximum of one acceleration per quarter. For the purposes of our model, during FY26 we now assume that both the deferred January and April 2026 and the next scheduled (July 2026) quarterly repayments are settled in cash, with the October 2026 repayment made through share issuance. We continue to assume that the CB and coupon are fully paid by October 2027 ie five years from issuance, and that this will be through issuing shares (either directly or indirectly).
Our updated forecasts following FY25 results include increasing R&D investment as progress is maintained and larger trials are initiated and progressed for Gen Two and Three assets. We forecast R&D spend of £17.7m in FY26e and £18.6m in FY27e. For SG&A we forecast only incremental growth on FY26e (£9.3m) in FY27e (£9.5m).
Our updated forecasts are in line with management commentary of a cash runway into Q127. This is sufficient to reach a number of key milestones, including first data from the Phase I trial for FAP-EXd (AVA6103) by end-2026, and the payload and candidate selection for the first of the Gen Three combination products, also by late H226. For the purposes of our model, we include £25m of cash inflows in each of FY26 and FY27 (as illustrative short-term debt) which could come from a variety of sources, including potential proceeds from partnership, licensing, or collaboration deals (where we have limited visibility on likely timing or magnitude), and debt and/or equity funding (including a possible NASDAQ listing).
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